Bills · 2025 4th downs
Sean McDermott · #12 of 32 in RESOLVE · 19 games
RESOLVE
6.5
WP surrendered
37.4
Clear surrenders
15
Went when should
55% · 17/31
Reckless WP
4.9
4th downs
108
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 5:05 · 4th & 6 at opp 21 · down 5 | 48% | 44% | — | FGSurrender | 4.0 | |
| Q4 10:24 · 4th & 5 at own 44 · down 7 | 23% | 13% | 19% | PuntSurrender | 3.9 | |
| Q1 9:17 · 4th & 5 at opp 44 · down 7 | 43% | 39% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 3.4 | |
| Q2 8:21 · 4th & 3 at own 49 · down 14 | 28% | 21% | 24% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q3 13:32 · 4th & 1 at own 29 · down 13 | 16% | 9% | 13% | PuntSurrender | 3.0 | |
| Q1 1:57 · 4th & 5 at opp 8 · down 7 | 60% | 57% | — | FGSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q4 10:20 · 4th & 7 at own 49 · tied | 67% | 57% | 65% | PuntSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q2 1:14 · 4th & 4 at opp 45 · up 3 | 68% | 63% | 66% | PuntSurrender | 1.8 | |
| Q2 2:51 · 4th & 5 at opp 7 · down 10 | 21% | 20% | — | FGSurrender | 1.5 | |
| Q1 12:23 · 4th & 1 at own 34 · tied | 83% | 75% | 81% | PuntSurrender | 1.5 |