Bills
14–24
BUF @ ATL
Falcons
Final · Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · 2025 Week 6 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Ground Share
Falcons controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
BUF 40%60% ATL
37.1%GROUND54.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 30 | -0.24 | -7.2 | 11.0 | 57.7% | 65.6% | -7.9 |
| M.Penix | 34 | -0.01 | -0.4 | 7.3 | 62.5% | 70.9% | -6.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.10 | +0.14 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.15 | -0.00 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.07 | +0.17 |
| Success Rate | 47.4% | 50.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.1% | 29.0% |
| Yards / Play | 5.11 | 6.43 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.02 | +0.14 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 27.3% | 46.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.4 | 7.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.65 | 4.30 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 55.0% | 46.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 26.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.6 | 26.4 |
| Plays | 57 | 69 |
| Total Yards | 291 | 444 |
| Total EPA | -5.9 | +9.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 34 | 15/26 | 199 | 5.8 | -5.1 | -0.15 | -7.9 | 44% | -0.10 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 17 | 87 | 5.1 | +1.9 | +0.11 | 53% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.13 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.4 | -1.68 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh PalmerWR | 2 | 2 | 60 | 30.0 | +4.1 | +2.06 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9.5 | +3.3 | +1.63 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +2.3 | +1.17 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 5 | 3 | 33 | 6.6 | +0.9 | +0.19 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 5 | 3 | 27 | 5.4 | -0.4 | -0.07 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -0.94 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.8 | -1.92 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 6 | 3 | 22 | 3.7 | -6.8 | -1.13 | 17% | -0.10 | 0 |
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 35 | 20/32 | 240 | 6.9 | -0.1 | +0.00 | -6.4 | 46% | +0.01 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 19 | 170 | 8.9 | +5.3 | +0.28 | 53% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Feleipe FranksTE | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.5 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | -1.2 | -0.12 | 40% | +0.01 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 16 | 10 | 158 | 9.9 | +4.5 | +0.28 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 8 | 6 | 68 | 8.5 | +2.5 | +0.31 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.26 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 4 | 3 | 18 | 4.5 | -0.5 | -0.14 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Casey WashingtonWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.5 | -1.75 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |