Bills
13–30
BUF @ MIA
Dolphins
Final · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · 2025 Week 10 · Hard Rock Stadium
Ground Share
Dolphins had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 46%54% MIA
44.4%GROUND52.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 44 | +0.10 | +4.2 | 10.1 | 68.3% | 64.1% | +7.7 |
| T.Tagovailoa | 21 | +0.43 | +9.0 | 8.9 | 71.4% | 65.5% | +5.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.07 | +0.31 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.15 | +0.43 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.52 | +0.23 |
| Success Rate | 43.3% | 43.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.4% | 29.4% |
| Yards / Play | 5.61 | 7.27 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.07 | +0.31 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.7 | 9.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.73 | 4.13 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 26.3% | 40.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.3% | 23.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.4% | 19.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.0 | 29.1 |
| Plays | 67 | 51 |
| Total Yards | 376 | 371 |
| Total EPA | -4.7 | +15.9 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 2 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 45 | 28/40 | 303 | 6.7 | +7.5 | +0.17 | +7.7 | 53% | -0.07 | 2 | 1 |
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 1 | 0/0 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.6 | -0.63 | — | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.03 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.52 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | -3.1 | -1.57 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 13 | 53 | 4.1 | -5.5 | -0.42 | 23% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 9 | 7 | 58 | 6.4 | +4.7 | +0.52 | 44% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +3.1 | +3.13 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | +2.3 | +2.26 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 3 | 2 | 37 | 12.3 | +2.0 | +0.66 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +0.7 | +0.37 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 5 | 5 | 24 | 4.8 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 80% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 8 | 3 | 46 | 5.8 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 38% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 2 | 1 | 26 | 13.0 | -0.7 | -0.37 | 50% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 4 | 3 | 37 | 9.3 | -3.1 | -0.78 | 75% | -0.04 | 0 |
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 21 | 15/21 | 173 | 8.2 | +9.0 | +0.43 | +5.9 | 48% | +0.18 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von AchaneRB | 22 | 174 | 7.9 | +8.6 | +0.39 | 41% | +0.11 | 2 |
| Alec IngoldFB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.7 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.1 | -1.11 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jaylen WrightRB | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | -1.2 | -0.25 | 40% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 7 | 5 | 84 | 12.0 | +4.5 | +0.65 | 57% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.6 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 6 | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | +1.4 | +0.23 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | +1.3 | +0.42 | 33% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Greg DulcichTE | 4 | 1 | 22 | 5.5 | +0.3 | +0.07 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |