Ravens
40–41
BAL @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
BAL 49%51% BUF
57.8%GROUND60.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.Jackson | 21 | +0.42 | +8.8 | 9.1 | 73.7% | 65.0% | +8.7 |
| J.Allen | 49 | +0.29 | +14.3 | 8.9 | 68.8% | 64.7% | +8.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.39 | +0.30 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.52 | +0.40 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.28 | -0.05 |
| Success Rate | 51.0% | 51.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 35.3% | 26.9% |
| Yards / Play | 8.47 | 6.44 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.28 | +0.20 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 54.5% | 55.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.6 | 5.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.45 | 2.94 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 34.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.4% | 26.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.0 | 31.3 |
| Plays | 51 | 78 |
| Total Yards | 432 | 502 |
| Total EPA | +20.1 | +23.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 22 | 14/19 | 213 | 9.7 | +11.4 | +0.52 | +8.7 | 50% | +0.20 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 5 | 51 | 10.2 | +7.1 | +1.43 | 100% | +0.18 | 1 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 18 | 169 | 9.4 | +3.5 | +0.19 | 44% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Rasheen AliRB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Zay FlowersWR | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +0.0 | -0.02 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 2 | -14 | -7.0 | -2.6 | -1.32 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 9 | 7 | 143 | 15.9 | +9.8 | +1.09 | 56% | +0.20 | 1 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 2 | 2 | 35 | 17.5 | +2.6 | +1.32 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +0.9 | +0.87 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +0.4 | +0.19 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.18 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 4 | 2 | 10 | 2.5 | -1.8 | -0.46 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 51 | 33/45 | 416 | 8.2 | +20.2 | +0.40 | +8.6 | 53% | +0.61 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +1.9 | +0.96 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 6 | 8 | 1.3 | +0.7 | +0.12 | 33% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 13 | 44 | 3.4 | -2.1 | -0.16 | 46% | -0.09 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon ColemanWR | 11 | 8 | 112 | 10.2 | +9.9 | +0.90 | 73% | +0.30 | 1 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 4 | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | +3.8 | +0.96 | 75% | +0.09 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 5 | 5 | 58 | 11.6 | +2.9 | +0.57 | 20% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | +2.8 | +2.82 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +1.2 | +0.59 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 9 | 5 | 61 | 6.8 | +0.9 | +0.10 | 33% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 9 | 6 | 64 | 7.1 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 44% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -0.99 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |