Bengals
34–39
CIN @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 14 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
CIN 42%58% BUF
56.4%GROUND79.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Burrow | 37 | +0.25 | 56.8% | 2.7% | +9.1 | 9.1 | 69.4% | 62.4% | +7.0 |
| J.Allen | 36 | +0.63 | 63.9% | 8.3% | +22.8 | 4.2 | 81.5% | 69.0% | +12.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CIN | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.27 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.25 | +0.63 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.07 | -0.46 |
| Success Rate | 52.5% | 56.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 32.2% | 28.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.73 | 6.98 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.14 | +0.08 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 83.3% | 60.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.1 | 4.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.86 | 3.81 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.1% | 57.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.8% | 9.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.9% | 10.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.4 | 33.9 |
| Plays | 59 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 338 | 419 |
| Total EPA | +11.1 | +16.0 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bengals won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
CIN 65%35% BUF
3.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS1.6 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Prater kicks 55 yards from BUF 35 to CIN 10. C.Jones pushed ob at CIN 45 for 35 yards — CIN +0.9
Kickoffs · CIN +2.2Punts · BUF +0.7Kicks · BUF +0.1
Player Stats
CIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 37 | 25/36 | 276 | 7.5 | +9.1 | +0.25 | +7.0 | 57% | -0.03 | 4 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaje PerineRB | 6 | 31 | 5.2 | +2.3 | +0.39 | 83% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Chase BrownRB | 12 | 23 | 1.9 | -4.3 | -0.35 | 8% | -0.14 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike GesickiTE | 6 | 6 | 86 | 14.3 | +9.5 | +1.59 | 83% | +0.21 | 1 |
| Tee HigginsWR | 11 | 6 | 92 | 8.4 | +9.3 | +0.85 | 55% | +0.23 | 2 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.7 | +1.70 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Andrei IosivasWR | 3 | 2 | 17 | 5.7 | +1.4 | +0.45 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Chase BrownRB | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3.0 | +0.6 | +0.15 | 25% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Tanner HudsonTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.5 | +0.53 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Noah FantTE | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.5 | +0.23 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 8 | 5 | 44 | 5.5 | -13.3 | -1.66 | 50% | -0.60 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan McPhersonK | — | — | 4/4 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan RehkowP | 2 | 79 | 39.5 | 35.0 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie JonesWR | 5 | 138 | 27.6 | 35 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 25 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 36 | 22/28 | 317 | 8.8 | +22.8 | +0.63 | +12.5 | 64% | +0.75 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +1.6 | +0.80 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -2.1 | -2.12 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 18 | 80 | 4.4 | -8.6 | -0.47 | 44% | -0.27 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +4.2 | +4.17 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +3.8 | +1.90 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 5 | 4 | 41 | 8.2 | +3.8 | +0.75 | 60% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 7 | 6 | 93 | 13.3 | +3.6 | +0.52 | 71% | +0.07 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 2 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | +2.2 | +1.12 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | +1.3 | +0.42 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.0 | +0.96 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.9 | +0.32 | 33% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4.7 | -1.1 | -0.37 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 1/1(26) | 26 | 4/4 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 4 | 84 | 21.0 | 27 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 46 | 23.0 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 9 | 0 |