Buccaneers · 2026 4th downs
Todd Bowles · #11 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
8.2
WP surrendered
6.0
Clear surrenders
2
Went when should
71% · 5/7
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
36
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 11:16 · 4th & 4 at opp 41 · tied | 82% | 80% | 81% | FGSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q4 9:06 · 4th & 7 at opp 36 · down 4 | 27% | 26% | 24% | FGSurrender | 1.2 | |
| Q4 14:23 · 4th & 4 at own 22 · down 4 | 23% | 15% | 22% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q1 1:16 · 4th & 2 at own 33 · down 3 | 35% | 25% | 34% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q1 4:06 · 4th & 4 at opp 27 · tied | 81% | 81% | — | FGSurrender | 0.6 | |
| Q3 7:16 · 4th & 8 at opp 20 · down 7 | 24% | 24% | — | FGSurrender | 0.3 | |
| Q2 3:47 · 4th & 5 at opp 43 · tied | 32% | 32% | 30% | FGSurrender | 0.3 | |
| Q2 0:06 · 4th & 7 at own 40 · down 7 | 16% | 16% | 16% | PuntSurrender | 0.1 |