ykb
Games
BuccaneersTB
Week 11 · 2026Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSPreview
LionsDET
DELTA DET -8

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Lions are favored

TB 26%74% DET
4.4DELTA6.2

ykb DELTA · 2026

4.4
Overall
6.2
4.0
Offense
6.7
3.6
Off Pass
6.7
5.2
Off Rush
5.8
5.5
Defense
3.6
5.7
Def Pass
3.8
6.1
Def Rush
4.8
4.4
Special Teams
7.8

Buccaneers Offense vs Lions Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#30-0.18
EPA / Pass
+0.24#29
#11-0.04
EPA / Rush
-0.04#27
#2838.6%
Success / Pass
52.1%#30
#1639.1%
Success / Rush
38.2%#10
#275.8%
Explosive / Pass
9.5%#26
#169.0%
Explosive / Rush
10.9%#26
#2736.7%
Ground
52.1%#29
#24Own 30
Starting Field Position
Own 27#1
#28-0.12
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.11#28
#2337.5%
3rd/4th-Down Success
55.1%#31
#267.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.4#28

Buccaneers Defense vs Lions Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#7-0.04
EPA / Pass
+0.28#3
#6-0.16
EPA / Rush
+0.01#8
#1443.9%
Success / Pass
50.2%#6
#535.0%
Success / Rush
47.1%#4
#66.1%
Explosive / Pass
8.2%#15
#179.2%
Explosive / Rush
14.6%#3
#841.4%
Ground
55.3%#4
#24Own 32
Starting Field Position
Own 31#9
#12-0.02
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.17#3
#635.7%
3rd/4th-Down Success
42.9%#14
#137.2
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.0#15

Tendencies · 2026

64.4%
Pass rate
62.7%
-2.1
PROE
0.7
73.4%
Motion rate
50.9%
25.4%
Play-action rate
31.9%
-0.18
Pass EPA/play
0.28
-0.04
Rush EPA/play
0.01
41.6%
Blitz rate
29.3%
-0.04
Pass EPA allowed
0.24
-0.16
Rush EPA allowed
-0.04

Betting trends · last 20 games

6-14
Record
11-9
4-15-1
ATS record
8-11-1
21.1%
ATS cover %
42.1%
50.0%
Over %
70.0%
45.2
Avg total line
50.9