Buccaneers at Bears, Week 9, 2026 — matchup preview — ykb.football

BuccaneersTB

Week 9 · 2026Sun, Nov 8 · 8:20 PM ET · NBCPreview

BearsCHI

DELTA CHI -8.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Bears are clear favorites

TB 24%76% CHI

4.3DELTA6.3

ykb DELTA · 2026

4.3

Overall

6.3

4.0

Offense

5.8

3.5

Off Pass

5.8

5.2

Off Rush

6.0

5.6

Defense

5.3

5.8

Def Pass

5.5

6.1

Def Rush

4.1

4.4

Special Teams

8.0

Buccaneers Offense

vs

Bears Defense

#30-0.18

EPA / Pass

-0.04#8

#11-0.04

EPA / Rush

-0.05#24

#2838.6%

39.1%#3

#1639.1%

41.8%#21

#275.8%

Explosive / Pass

11.1%#31

#169.0%

Explosive / Rush

10.9%#26

#2736.7%

42.0%#11

#24Own 30

Starting Field Position

Own 30#19

#28-0.12

Early-Down EPA / Play

+0.11#30

#2337.5%

3rd/4th-Down Success

25.7%#1

#267.8

Avg 3rd-Down Distance

7.9#4

Buccaneers Defense

vs

Bears Offense

#7-0.04

EPA / Pass

+0.09#15

#6-0.16

EPA / Rush

-0.05#14

#1443.9%

49.6%#8

#535.0%

43.3%#10

#66.1%

Explosive / Pass

8.4%#12

#179.2%

Explosive / Rush

10.3%#13

#841.4%

51.1%#10

#24Own 32

Starting Field Position

Own 33#5

#12-0.02

Early-Down EPA / Play

-0.01#17

#635.7%

3rd/4th-Down Success

47.1%#7

#137.2

Avg 3rd-Down Distance

6.3#8

Tendencies · 2026

64.4%

Pass rate

55.1%

-2.1

PROE

-1.2

70.9%

Motion rate

52.5%

20.7%

Play-action rate

31.5%

-0.18

Pass EPA/play

0.09

-0.04

Rush EPA/play

-0.05

42.6%

Blitz rate

41.3%

-0.04

Pass EPA allowed

-0.04

-0.16

Rush EPA allowed

-0.05

Betting trends · last 20 games

6-14

Record

13-7

4-15-1

ATS record

12-7-1

21.1%

ATS cover %

63.2%

50.0%

Over %

40.0%

45.2

Avg total line

46.4