Patriots · 2026 4th downs
Mike Vrabel · #6 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
8.8
WP surrendered
8.3
Clear surrenders
2
Went when should
67% · 4/6
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
29
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 6:45 · 4th & 4 at own 42 · up 1 | 49% | 31% | 47% | PuntSurrender | 2.5 | |
| Q3 0:56 · 4th & 2 at own 45 · up 4 | 56% | 42% | 55% | PuntSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q1 1:28 · 4th & 2 at own 40 · tied | 45% | 36% | 44% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q2 0:57 · 4th & 3 at opp 47 · up 7 | 74% | 67% | 73% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q2 11:23 · 4th & 3 at own 27 · down 7 | 24% | 17% | 24% | PuntSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q1 10:20 · 4th & 9 at opp 45 · tied | 45% | 43% | 44% | PuntSurrender | 0.7 | |
| Q3 13:26 · 4th & 4 at own 48 · up 7 | 69% | 59% | 68% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 | |
| Q4 13:21 · 4th & 16 at opp 22 · down 25 | 0% | 0% | — | FGSurrender | 0.0 |