PatriotsNE
Week 3 · 2026Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET · CBSPreview
JaguarsJAX
Line JAX -3O/U 45.5NE +130 / JAX -155

ykb DELTA · 2025

7.5
Overall
7.2
6.9
Offense
5.8
7.5
Off Pass
5.8
4.5
Off Rush
5.7
7.2
Defense
7.6
7.3
Def Pass
7.5
5.4
Def Rush
6.6
4.7
Special Teams
6.8

Patriots Offense vs Jaguars Defense

Patriots Offense
vs
Jaguars Defense
#21-0.01
EPA / Pass
+0.03#15
#26-0.21
EPA / Rush
-0.08#16
#849.3%
Success / Pass
49.2%#22
#3030.6%
Success / Rush
43.2%#22
#265.8%
Explosive / Pass
13.1%#30
#188.2%
Explosive / Rush
11.4%#23
#2739.5%
Ground
52.3%#25
#32Own 23
Starting Field Position
Own 29#11
#23-0.08
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.14#28
#1443.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
30.0%#5
#136.8
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.7#20

Patriots Defense vs Jaguars Offense

Patriots Defense
vs
Jaguars Offense
#2-0.22
EPA / Pass
+0.27#6
#15-0.11
EPA / Rush
+0.02#8
#1143.8%
Success / Pass
54.5%#4
#329.3%
Success / Rush
50.0%#3
#85.5%
Explosive / Pass
12.7%#3
#179.8%
Explosive / Rush
13.5%#6
#433.7%
Ground
53.1%#7
#5Own 26
Starting Field Position
Own 30#21
#6-0.11
Early-Down EPA / Play
+0.20#4
#224.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
47.6%#10
#246.1
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
6.0#6

Tendencies · 2026

58.9%
Pass rate
53.5%
0.5
PROE
-3.8
49.2%
Motion rate
60.5%
23.3%
Play-action rate
26.2%
0.05
Pass EPA/play
0.23
-0.24
Rush EPA/play
-0.00
37.7%
Blitz rate
38.5%
-0.20
Pass EPA allowed
0.03
-0.13
Rush EPA allowed
-0.11

Betting trends · last 20 games

17-3
Record
14-6
14-5-1
ATS record
13-7
73.7%
ATS cover %
65.0%
55.0%
Over %
55.0%
45.0
Avg total line
45.0