Vikings · 2026 4th downs
Kevin O'Connell · #17 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
7.0
WP surrendered
13.4
Clear surrenders
6
Went when should
25% · 2/8
Reckless WP
0.5
4th downs
39
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 13:04 · 4th & 1 at own 21 · up 3 | 56% | 39% | 52% | PuntSurrender | 4.5 | |
| Q1 1:42 · 4th & 5 at opp 20 · down 9 | 29% | 26% | — | FGSurrender | 2.7 | |
| Q3 11:07 · 4th & 6 at own 44 · down 9 | 21% | 14% | 19% | PuntSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q2 6:15 · 4th & 2 at own 40 · down 4 | 42% | 32% | 41% | PuntSurrender | 1.5 | |
| Q1 0:11 · 4th & 3 at own 42 · tied | 35% | 27% | 34% | PuntSurrender | 1.2 | |
| Q2 10:40 · 4th & 8 at opp 48 · down 9 | 23% | 19% | 22% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q1 11:08 · 4th & 6 at opp 17 · tied | 37% | 37% | — | FGSurrender | 0.4 | |
| Q3 6:40 · 4th & 3 at own 31 · up 3 | 53% | 39% | 52% | PuntSurrender | 0.3 |