Vikings
23–13
MIN @ NO
Saints

Final · Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 2026 Week 5 · Caesars Superdome

Ground Share

Vikings dominated the field

Teams with this edge win 98% of the time

MIN 70%30% NO
55.3%GROUND23.6%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
K.Murray38+0.0850.0%5.3%+2.95.982.8%71.0%+11.8
T.Shough26-0.4638.5%3.9%-11.96.166.7%74.6%-8.0

Team Stats

MetricMINNO
EPA / Play-0.10-0.35
EPA / Dropback+0.08-0.46
EPA / Rush-0.37-0.19
Success Rate45.3%34.9%
Pass50.0%38.5%
Rush38.5%29.4%
Explosive Play Rate7.8%0.0%
Pass7.9%0.0%
Rush7.7%0.0%
Yards / Play5.733.30
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.03-0.39
3rd/4th-Down Conversion56.3%30.8%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance7.08.2
Line Yards / Carry2.902.75
Opportunity Rate (4+)46.2%41.2%
Stuff Rate15.4%17.6%
Havoc Rate Allowed6.3%16.3%
Avg Starting Field Position39.624.9
Plays6443
Total Yards367142
Total EPA-6.7-15.1
Giveaways22

Special Teams

Vikings dominated the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 70% of the time

MIN 86%14% NO
12.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.0 pts won

Biggest swing · W.Reichard kicks 59 yards from MIN 35 to NO 6. J.Price to NO 29 for 23 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIN-J.J… — MIN +4.8

Kickoffs · MIN +5.4Punts · NO +0.1Kicks · MIN +4.8

Player Stats

MIN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Kyler MurrayQB3824/292297.0+2.9+0.07+11.850%+0.1310

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kyler MurrayQB7547.7+4.3+0.6257%+0.120
Justin JeffersonWR1-11-11.0-1.7-1.720%-0.030
Aaron JonesRB251134.5-7.8-0.3140%+0.001

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Justin JeffersonWR767911.3+5.5+0.7857%+0.221
DeeJay DallasRB111111.0+2.7+2.72100%+0.050
Jeshaun JonesWR113232.0+2.1+2.08100%+0.110
Gavin BartholomewTE65335.5+1.6+0.2767%+0.050
Ben YurosekTE111010.0+1.3+1.27100%+0.040
Tai FeltonWR32279.0+0.8+0.2733%+0.070
T.J. HockensonTE1177.0+0.6+0.60100%+0.010
Demond ClaiborneRB1166.0-0.4-0.430%-0.010
Jauan JenningsWR1000.0-0.7-0.690%-0.020
Aaron JonesRB3341.3-1.7-0.560%-0.040
Myles PriceWR43205.0-9.9-2.4850%-0.360

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Will ReichardK3/3(40, 54, 55)552/25011

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Brett ThorsonP313143.737.054110

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Myles PriceWR38327.7290

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Myles PriceWR35719.0430

NO

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Tyler ShoughQB2616/25963.4-11.9-0.46-8.039%-0.1602

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kendre MillerRB10303.0-0.3-0.0340%+0.001
Alvin KamaraRB3124.0-0.5-0.1733%-0.010
CJ DonaldsonRB4133.3-2.4-0.590%-0.040

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Chris OlaveWR64467.7+3.0+0.5067%+0.100
Devaughn VeleWR64264.3+0.3+0.0650%+0.040
Noah FantTE1177.0+0.1+0.12100%+0.000
CJ DonaldsonRB1177.0+0.1+0.08100%-0.010
Juwan JohnsonTE54163.2-2.7-0.5520%-0.030
Alvin KamaraRB22-6-3.0-2.8-1.380%-0.070
Bryce LanceWR3000.0-7.0-2.340%-0.130

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Daniel CarlsonK——1/2301

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Ryan WrightP422957.343.064000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Barion BrownWR36822.7250
Jayden PriceCB24824.0250

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Barion BrownWR200.000