ykb
Games
BillsBUF
Week 9 · 2026Mon, Nov 9 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN / ABCPreview
VikingsMIN
DELTA BUF -0.5

DELTA Matchup Predictor

Too close to call

BUF 51%49% MIN
6.8DELTA6.1

ykb DELTA · 2026

6.8
Overall
6.1
7.7
Offense
3.8
7.2
Off Pass
3.9
7.4
Off Rush
3.6
3.3
Defense
8.0
3.6
Def Pass
7.7
3.9
Def Rush
6.5
8.0
Special Teams
8.7

Bills Offense vs Vikings Defense

Offense
vs
Defense
#2+0.34
EPA / Pass
-0.21#1
#5+0.03
EPA / Rush
-0.22#1
#1448.0%
Success / Pass
35.2%#1
#250.3%
Success / Rush
29.7%#1
#114.0%
Explosive / Pass
6.7%#9
#215.2%
Explosive / Rush
8.9%#14
#257.9%
Ground
33.9%#2
#4Own 33
Starting Field Position
Own 29#11
#4+0.16
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.12#3
#352.3%
3rd/4th-Down Success
26.0%#2
#106.6
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
8.6#1

Bills Defense vs Vikings Offense

Defense
vs
Offense
#28+0.24
EPA / Pass
-0.04#23
#20-0.06
EPA / Rush
-0.19#26
#2950.4%
Success / Pass
37.3%#30
#2542.2%
Success / Rush
33.6%#30
#2910.3%
Explosive / Pass
7.1%#23
#199.5%
Explosive / Rush
7.0%#22
#3053.0%
Ground
38.7%#26
#13Own 29
Starting Field Position
Own 33#3
#27+0.10
Early-Down EPA / Play
-0.12#29
#2950.0%
3rd/4th-Down Success
43.0%#13
#246.7
Avg 3rd-Down Distance
7.4#21

Tendencies · 2026

57.0%
Pass rate
56.9%
-2.0
PROE
-3.8
64.4%
Motion rate
53.5%
28.0%
Play-action rate
30.2%
0.34
Pass EPA/play
-0.04
0.03
Rush EPA/play
-0.18
35.5%
Blitz rate
70.4%
0.24
Pass EPA allowed
-0.21
-0.06
Rush EPA allowed
-0.22

Betting trends · last 20 games

14-6
Record
13-7
11-9
ATS record
12-8
55.0%
ATS cover %
60.0%
60.0%
Over %
40.0%
48.6
Avg total line
43.3