Jaguars · 2026 4th downs
Liam Coen · #22 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
6.2
WP surrendered
15.4
Clear surrenders
4
Went when should
50% · 3/6
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
29
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:56 · 4th & 3 at opp 48 · up 5 | 90% | 78% | 86% | PuntSurrender | 4.1 | |
| Q4 1:46 · 4th & 2 at own 31 · up 2 | 72% | 46% | 69% | PuntSurrender | 3.4 | |
| Q1 13:14 · 4th & 1 at own 21 · tied | 53% | 41% | 50% | PuntSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q4 0:34 · 4th & 8 at own 27 · up 29 | 100% | 100% | 98% | PuntSurrender | 2.1 | |
| Q1 1:25 · 4th & 2 at own 30 · up 7 | 85% | 79% | 84% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q1 7:52 · 4th & 2 at own 32 · tied | 53% | 42% | 52% | PuntSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q4 4:46 · 4th & 11 at own 34 · down 7 | 9% | 5% | 8% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 | |
| Q2 9:13 · 4th & 1 at opp 29 · up 14 | 97% | 97% | — | FGSurrender | 0.5 | |
| Q3 9:05 · 4th & 5 at opp 5 · up 7 | 77% | 77% | — | FGSurrender | 0.3 | |
| Q4 14:07 · 4th & 7 at own 35 · down 4 | 39% | 29% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 0.3 |