Jaguars
1320
JAX @ DEN
Broncos

Final · Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · 2026 Week 2 · Empower Field at Mile High

Ground Share

Broncos controlled more of the field

Teams with this edge win 86% of the time

JAX 41%59% DEN
41.9%GROUND59.0%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
T.Lawrence31-0.1341.9%6.5%-4.110.460.7%59.8%+0.9
B.Nix31+0.2751.6%0.0%+8.49.375.9%64.4%+11.5

Team Stats

MetricJAXDEN
EPA / Play-0.05+0.13
EPA / Dropback-0.13+0.27
EPA / Rush+0.06-0.10
Success Rate45.0%47.5%
Pass41.9%51.6%
Rush45.8%42.3%
Explosive Play Rate8.3%15.3%
Pass9.7%16.1%
Rush8.3%15.4%
Yards / Play4.476.69
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.03+0.29
3rd/4th-Down Conversion41.7%40.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance6.85.1
Line Yards / Carry3.143.26
Opportunity Rate (4+)29.2%44.0%
Stuff Rate12.5%20.0%
Havoc Rate Allowed15.0%8.5%
Avg Starting Field Position28.925.7
Plays6059
Total Yards268395
Total EPA-2.9+7.6
Giveaways11

Special Teams

Broncos had the edge in the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 56% of the time

JAX 35%65% DEN
3.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.6 pts won

Biggest swing · C.Little 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide LeftDEN +4.0

Kickoffs · DEN +0.4Punts · JAX +1.7Kicks · DEN +4.3

Player Stats

JAX

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Trevor LawrenceQB3117/291895.6-4.1-0.13+0.942%+0.0401

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Bhayshul TutenRB13655.0+1.2+0.0946%-0.011
Ameer AbdullahRB3113.7+0.6+0.1967%+0.000
Trevor LawrenceQB263.0+0.4+0.1950%+0.060
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB6132.2-0.7-0.1133%+0.010

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jakobi MeyersWR112828.0+3.1+3.14100%+0.160
Brenton StrangeTE22178.5+2.0+0.98100%+0.030
Quintin MorrisTE1177.0+0.5+0.51100%+0.010
Parker WashingtonWR127988.2-0.4-0.0350%+0.000
Ameer AbdullahRB1122.0-0.4-0.400%+0.000
Brian Thomas Jr.WR83405.0-1.2-0.1538%+0.030
LeQuint Allen Jr.RB1000.0-1.3-1.330%-0.020
Bhayshul TutenRB22-3-1.5-1.9-0.970%-0.030

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cam LittleK2/3(44, 23 · missed 54)441/1307

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Logan CookeP418546.345.855300

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ameer AbdullahRB25427.0300
Josh CameronWR25025.0260

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Parker WashingtonWR2126.0120

DEN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Bo NixQB3122/312889.3+8.4+0.27+11.552%+0.3511

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Bo NixQB294.5+1.2+0.62100%+0.030
Pat BryantWR11616.0+1.0+0.99100%+0.030
Nate AdkinsTE166.0+0.3+0.32100%+0.010
Jonah ColemanRB10393.9-0.2-0.0240%+0.061
Tyler BadieRB111.0-0.6-0.560%-0.020
J.K. DobbinsRB10363.6-3.2-0.3230%-0.130

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jaylen WaddleWR10813813.8+8.8+0.8860%+0.270
Nate AdkinsTE333210.7+3.7+1.24100%+0.211
Troy FranklinWR212713.5+1.6+0.7950%+0.050
Evan EngramTE111717.0+1.0+1.01100%+0.070
Jonah ColemanRB33196.3+0.3+0.1033%-0.030
Tyler BadieRB32289.3+0.0+0.0133%+0.030
Adam PrenticeFB1122.0-0.3-0.290%-0.050
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR1000.0-0.4-0.360%-0.020
Pat BryantWR1000.0-1.4-1.420%-0.040
Courtland SuttonWR43256.3-2.5-0.6375%-0.080

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Wil LutzK2/2(20, 45)452/2518

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jeremy CrawshawP313745.741.748000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Tyler BadieRB38428.0380

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Kris Abrams-DraineCB221.030