Lions · 2026 4th downs
Dan Campbell · #28 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
5.3
WP surrendered
17.4
Clear surrenders
3
Went when should
67% · 6/9
Reckless WP
1.1
4th downs
37
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 0:37 · 4th & 1 at own 44 · tied | 68% | 30% | 57% | PuntSurrender | 10.7 | |
| Q3 6:24 · 4th & 6 at opp 8 · down 6 | 47% | 44% | — | FGSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q2 3:21 · 4th & 2 at own 44 · up 7 | 85% | 78% | 83% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q4 14:49 · 4th & 14 at opp 43 · down 10 | 19% | 18% | 18% | PuntSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q4 7:36 · 4th & 10 at own 10 · down 10 | 4% | 2% | 3% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 | |
| Q2 0:57 · 4th & 2 at opp 22 · up 14 | 97% | 97% | — | FGSurrender | 0.4 | |
| Q2 12:41 · 4th & 7 at opp 25 · down 4 | 54% | 54% | — | FGSurrender | 0.2 |