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DET @ BUF
Bills

Final · Thu, Sep 17, 2026 · 2026 Week 2 · Highmark Stadium

Ground Share

Bills had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

DET 43%57% BUF
54.6%GROUND73.9%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
J.Goff44+0.4154.5%9.1%+18.28.968.4%62.4%+6.0
J.Allen38+0.5557.9%5.3%+20.88.971.4%65.7%+5.7

Team Stats

MetricDETBUF
EPA / Play+0.28+0.44
EPA / Dropback+0.41+0.55
EPA / Rush-0.25+0.33
Success Rate49.2%59.2%
Pass54.5%57.9%
Rush31.6%58.6%
Explosive Play Rate10.8%12.7%
Pass11.4%10.5%
Rush10.5%17.2%
Yards / Play5.466.32
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.18+0.31
3rd/4th-Down Conversion53.3%83.3%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance7.84.3
Line Yards / Carry2.393.91
Opportunity Rate (4+)33.3%39.3%
Stuff Rate50.0%7.1%
Havoc Rate Allowed15.4%5.6%
Avg Starting Field Position27.832.4
Plays6571
Total Yards355449
Total EPA+18.3+31.2
Giveaways00

Special Teams

Special teams were a wash

DET 56%44% BUF
4.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.8 pts won

Biggest swing · J.Fox punts 44 yards to BUF 18. G.Dortch pushed ob at BUF 43 for 25 yardsBUF +1.6

Kickoffs · DET +0.5Punts · BUF +0.4Kicks · DET +1.0

Player Stats

DET

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Jared GoffQB4426/383276.7+18.2+0.41+6.055%+0.0340

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Sione VakiRB177.0+0.5+0.51100%+0.000
Jared GoffQB372.3-2.1-0.720%-0.030
Jahmyr GibbsRB16523.3-2.5-0.1631%-0.060

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR13914210.9+10.7+0.8262%+0.062
Jahmyr GibbsRB86617.6+6.0+0.7575%+0.021
Sam LaPortaTE76527.4+5.7+0.8171%+0.051
Isaac TeSlaaWR52265.2+1.8+0.3640%-0.010
Jameson WilliamsWR42338.3+1.5+0.3750%+0.010
Sione VakiRB111313.0+0.6+0.56100%+0.010

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Jake BatesK1/1(31)314/4517

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jack FoxP420651.542.562100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Tom KennedyWR49924.8270
Jacob SaylorsRB25829.0300

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Tom KennedyWR200.000

BUF

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Josh AllenQB3820/312487.7+20.8+0.55+5.758%+0.3530

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Josh AllenQB11726.5+9.5+0.87100%+0.232
James CookRB211356.4+5.0+0.2448%+0.031
DJ MooreWR1-1-1.0-0.9-0.940%-0.020

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Dalton KincaidTE879511.9+7.2+0.9075%+0.081
Keon ColemanWR666310.5+5.9+0.9883%+0.090
Josh PalmerWR314314.3+4.8+1.6133%+0.091
Dawson KnoxTE2252.5+1.8+0.89100%-0.021
Khalil ShakirWR63386.3+0.6+0.0950%+0.020
James CookRB3141.3-1.2-0.390%-0.010

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Tyler BassK5/6715

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tommy Doman Jr.P28341.541.543100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Greg DortchWR25125.5260
Ray DavisRB13131.0310
Khalil ShakirWR11111.0110

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Greg DortchWR4369.0250