Saints · 2025 4th downs
Kellen Moore · #9 of 32 in RESOLVE · 17 games
RESOLVE
6.7
WP surrendered
35.8
Clear surrenders
15
Went when should
52% · 16/31
Reckless WP
0.5
4th downs
121
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 12:54 · 4th & 4 at opp 16 · tied | 41% | 37% | — | FGSurrender | 3.6 | |
| Q2 5:58 · 4th & 1 at opp 33 · down 13 | 26% | 24% | 21% | FGSurrender | 2.5 | |
| Q4 2:46 · 4th & 5 at opp 5 · down 10 | 6% | 4% | — | FGSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q1 0:28 · 4th & 1 at own 38 · down 3 | 47% | 36% | 44% | PuntSurrender | 2.2 | |
| Q3 12:59 · 4th & 3 at opp 49 · down 4 | 16% | 12% | 14% | PuntSurrender | 2.0 | |
| Q4 3:55 · 4th & 7 at own 38 · down 6 | 12% | 5% | 10% | PuntSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q1 13:13 · 4th & 6 at opp 22 · tied | 41% | 39% | — | FGSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q1 2:08 · 4th & 3 at opp 49 · down 7 | 19% | 16% | 18% | PuntSurrender | 1.8 | |
| Q1 8:03 · 4th & 1 at own 38 · down 7 | 12% | 8% | 11% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q1 6:19 · 4th & 1 at own 23 · tied | 37% | 28% | 36% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 |