Patriots
25–19
NE @ NO
Saints
Final · Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · 2025 Week 6 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 54%46% NO
54.9%GROUND47.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 27 | +0.64 | +17.4 | 10.9 | 69.2% | 64.2% | +10.8 |
| S.Rattler | 28 | -0.05 | -1.4 | 8.5 | 76.9% | 70.4% | +6.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.14 | -0.06 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.62 | -0.03 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.44 | -0.06 |
| Success Rate | 48.3% | 46.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.62 | 5.29 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.18 | +0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 44.4% | 30.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.4 | 6.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.60 | 2.73 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.5% | 42.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 37.5% | 14.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.0% | 12.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.8 | 30.9 |
| Plays | 60 | 56 |
| Total Yards | 337 | 296 |
| Total EPA | +8.3 | -3.4 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 31 | 18/26 | 290 | 9.3 | +19.3 | +0.62 | +10.8 | 61% | +0.69 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 9 | 27 | 3.0 | -1.9 | -0.21 | 44% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Drake MayeQB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -2.9 | -1.44 | 50% | -0.15 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 13 | 18 | 1.4 | -6.7 | -0.52 | 23% | -0.17 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 5 | 5 | 93 | 18.6 | +10.8 | +2.17 | 100% | +0.33 | 2 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 4 | 3 | 71 | 17.8 | +4.4 | +1.11 | 75% | +0.18 | 1 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 3 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | +3.5 | +1.16 | 67% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9.3 | +2.7 | +0.90 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | +1.9 | +0.62 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.6 | +0.29 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Austin HooperTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.10 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.60 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.4 | -1.19 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer RattlerQB | 30 | 20/26 | 233 | 7.8 | -0.8 | -0.03 | +6.6 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer RattlerQB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.2 | +0.60 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Taysom HillTE | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.2 | +1.17 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Alvin KamaraRB | 10 | 31 | 3.1 | -1.2 | -0.12 | 30% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Kendre MillerRB | 8 | 21 | 2.6 | -2.5 | -0.31 | 25% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin KamaraRB | 5 | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | +2.1 | +0.42 | 60% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Chris OlaveWR | 10 | 6 | 98 | 9.8 | +1.9 | +0.19 | 60% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Brandin CooksWR | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +1.7 | +1.71 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Foster MoreauTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.70 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kendre MillerRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.6 | +0.59 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Rashid ShaheedWR | 6 | 4 | 28 | 4.7 | -1.2 | -0.20 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | -5.1 | -2.55 | 0% | -0.14 | 0 |