Saints
17–19
NO @ ATL
Falcons
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025 Week 18 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Ground Share
Saints had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NO 56%44% ATL
41.4%GROUND33.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Shough | 39 | -0.21 | -8.1 | 8.0 | 65.7% | 69.3% | -1.7 |
| K.Cousins | 35 | -0.16 | -5.5 | 7.1 | 58.1% | 66.6% | -6.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NO | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.24 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.08 | -0.43 |
| Success Rate | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.0% | 13.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.14 | -0.30 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.9% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.1 | 9.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.77 | 1.79 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 30.4% | 36.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.7% | 22.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.2% | 21.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.3 | 42.2 |
| Plays | 68 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 340 | 210 |
| Total EPA | -7.2 | -14.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Player Stats
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 42 | 23/35 | 266 | 6.3 | -5.7 | -0.14 | -1.7 | 38% | -0.20 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan HullRB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.3 | +0.13 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 21 | 63 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -0.10 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audric EstiméRB | 5 | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | +3.0 | +0.60 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dante PettisWR | 5 | 5 | 60 | 12.0 | +2.4 | +0.48 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Taysom HillTE | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +1.7 | +0.56 | 67% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 5 | 3 | 61 | 12.2 | +1.3 | +0.26 | 40% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Ronnie BellWR | 4 | 2 | 23 | 5.8 | +1.2 | +0.30 | 25% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Kevin Austin Jr.WR | 9 | 4 | 37 | 4.1 | -2.0 | -0.22 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Samori ToureWR | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | -8.7 | -2.90 | 0% | -0.30 | 0 |
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk CousinsQB | 36 | 18/31 | 161 | 4.5 | -5.7 | -0.16 | -6.6 | 42% | -0.12 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 7 | 16 | 2.3 | -3.0 | -0.43 | 14% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 15 | 33 | 2.2 | -5.7 | -0.38 | 20% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 8 | 4 | 78 | 9.8 | +4.5 | +0.56 | 50% | +0.12 | 1 |
| David SillsWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.0 | +0.04 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 7 | 3 | 20 | 2.9 | -0.4 | -0.05 | 29% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 9 | 6 | 58 | 6.4 | -0.7 | -0.07 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.9 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |