Patriots · 2025 4th downs
Mike Vrabel · #13 of 32 in RESOLVE · 21 games
RESOLVE
6.5
WP surrendered
34.2
Clear surrenders
14
Went when should
57% · 17/30
Reckless WP
2.6
4th downs
130
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 10:21 · 4th & 1 at own 29 · up 5 | 70% | 50% | 66% | PuntSurrender | 4.1 | |
| Q4 13:40 · 4th & 5 at the 50 · down 7 | 24% | 16% | 20% | PuntSurrender | 3.8 | |
| Q1 6:27 · 4th & 1 at own 33 · up 7 | 60% | 47% | 57% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q4 4:53 · 4th & 5 at own 49 · down 10 | 8% | 4% | 5% | PuntSurrender | 2.5 | |
| Q2 5:57 · 4th & 3 at own 38 · down 7 | 42% | 32% | 40% | PuntSurrender | 2.1 | |
| Q4 1:52 · 4th & 2 at opp 30 · up 3 | 81% | 79% | — | FGSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q3 7:41 · 4th & 1 at own 41 · down 12 | 9% | 5% | 7% | PuntSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q1 9:17 · 4th & 4 at opp 4 · tied | 75% | 73% | — | FGSurrender | 1.8 | |
| Q4 1:54 · 4th & 10 at own 39 · up 12 | 99% | 99% | 98% | PuntSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q2 3:32 · 4th & 6 at opp 45 · tied | 57% | 52% | 55% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 |