Patriots
28–23
NE @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · 2025 Week 10 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 54%46% TB
53.8%GROUND45.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 32 | +0.20 | +6.3 | 11.3 | 51.6% | 61.0% | -5.9 |
| B.Mayfield | 45 | +0.02 | +1.0 | 6.6 | 65.1% | 67.7% | -2.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.12 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.27 | +0.14 |
| Success Rate | 38.3% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.7% | 30.9% |
| Yards / Play | 7.27 | 5.46 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.21 | +0.24 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 41.2% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.97 | 4.08 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 18.2% | 61.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 40.9% | 14.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.7% | 7.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.3 | 26.3 |
| Plays | 60 | 68 |
| Total Yards | 436 | 371 |
| Total EPA | +11.6 | +4.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 36 | 16/31 | 283 | 7.9 | +4.4 | +0.12 | -5.9 | 44% | +0.30 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 14 | 147 | 10.5 | +8.8 | +0.63 | 29% | +0.12 | 2 |
| Terrell JenningsRB | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | +0.4 | +0.11 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| D'Ernest JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -0.18 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Drake MayeQB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.3 | -1.13 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 2 | 1 | 72 | 36.0 | +5.0 | +2.47 | 50% | +0.14 | 1 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 2 | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | +3.3 | +1.64 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 8 | 5 | 46 | 5.8 | +3.0 | +0.37 | 63% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 10 | 6 | 106 | 10.6 | +1.3 | +0.13 | 60% | +0.07 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.35 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jack WestoverFB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Austin HooperTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.78 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 4 | 1 | 9 | 2.3 | -2.2 | -0.55 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 45 | 28/43 | 258 | 5.7 | +1.0 | +0.02 | -2.5 | 47% | -0.37 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 9 | 53 | 5.9 | +1.6 | +0.18 | 56% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.8 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.5 | +0.46 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 10 | 38 | 3.8 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tez JohnsonWR | 5 | 4 | 42 | 8.4 | +6.5 | +1.29 | 80% | +0.13 | 2 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 13 | 6 | 115 | 8.8 | +2.5 | +0.19 | 46% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Cade OttonTE | 12 | 9 | 82 | 6.8 | +2.5 | +0.20 | 58% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Payne DurhamTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 4 | 3 | 20 | 5.0 | -0.8 | -0.21 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 2 | 1 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.9 | -0.97 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | -2.9 | -0.58 | 40% | -0.25 | 0 |