Chargers
3–16
LAC @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Jan 11, 2026 · 2025 Wild Card · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
LAC 38%62% NE
32.2%GROUND52.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert | 44 | -0.25 | 50.0% | 13.6% | -11.1 | 8.0 | 63.3% | 66.1% | -2.8 |
| D.Maye | 39 | +0.08 | 48.7% | 12.8% | +3.2 | 8.6 | 65.4% | 68.7% | -3.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | LAC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.25 | +0.04 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.26 | -0.12 |
| Success Rate | 43.3% | 44.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 15.0% | 24.6% |
| Yards / Play | 3.45 | 6.30 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.07 | -0.00 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 15.4% | 45.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.22 | 3.42 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 13.3% | 61.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 23.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.7 | 26.6 |
| Plays | 60 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 207 | 384 |
| Total EPA | -12.8 | -1.0 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Patriots won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
LAC 30%70% NE
1.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.7 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Scott punts 33 yards to NE 44. M.Jones to NE 46 for 2 yards — NE +0.9
Kickoffs · NE +0.2Punts · NE +1.0Kicks · NE +0.9
Player Stats
LAC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 44 | 19/31 | 170 | 3.9 | -11.2 | -0.25 | -2.8 | 50% | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.7 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 11 | 31 | 2.8 | -2.7 | -0.24 | 18% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oronde Gadsden IITE | 3 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | +2.9 | +0.96 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ladd McConkeyWR | 4 | 3 | 32 | 8.0 | +1.1 | +0.28 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tre HarrisWR | 3 | 2 | 20 | 6.7 | +1.0 | +0.33 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tucker FiskTE | 3 | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.07 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 3 | 2 | 20 | 6.7 | -0.5 | -0.18 | 67% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 6 | 3 | 20 | 3.3 | -1.3 | -0.21 | 33% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Keenan AllenWR | 8 | 3 | 25 | 3.1 | -5.0 | -0.63 | 38% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron DickerK | 1/1(21) | 21 | — | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. ScottP | 5 | 211 | 42.2 | 37.8 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derius DavisWR | 4 | 100 | 25.0 | 34 | 0 |
| Jaret PattersonRB | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derius DavisWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 39 | 17/29 | 295 | 7.6 | +3.2 | +0.08 | -3.3 | 49% | +0.10 | 1 | 1 |
| Efton Chism IIIWR | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.64 | -55.1 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 10 | 53 | 5.3 | +0.9 | +0.09 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Drake MayeQB | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.4 | +0.21 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 9 | 27 | 3.0 | -3.8 | -0.42 | 22% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter HenryTE | 5 | 3 | 64 | 12.8 | +6.4 | +1.28 | 60% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 4 | 3 | 75 | 18.8 | +4.4 | +1.10 | 75% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 4 | 4 | 66 | 16.5 | +3.5 | +0.87 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +3.0 | +3.03 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Efton Chism IIIWR | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +2.2 | +2.17 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jack WestoverFB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.1 | +1.12 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.9 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 5 | 2 | 16 | 3.2 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Drake MayeQB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.64 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -2.0 | -0.98 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Austin HooperTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.9 | -2.47 | 0% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BorregalesK | 3/3(23, 35, 39) | 39 | 1/1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 3 | 130 | 43.3 | 36.7 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efton Chism IIIWR | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |