Colts · 2025 4th downs
Shane Steichen · #14 of 32 in RESOLVE · 17 games
RESOLVE
6.5
WP surrendered
31.4
Clear surrenders
12
Went when should
56% · 15/27
Reckless WP
1.1
4th downs
93
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 4:52 · 4th & 4 at opp 45 · up 3 | 68% | 60% | 65% | PuntSurrender | 3.3 | |
| Q1 10:41 · 4th & 5 at opp 6 · tied | 57% | 54% | — | FGSurrender | 3.2 | |
| Q2 3:33 · 4th & 3 at own 37 · down 7 | 41% | 30% | 38% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q4 8:37 · 4th & 8 at opp 10 · down 5 | 28% | 25% | — | FGSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q3 1:29 · 4th & 5 at opp 5 · up 8 | 83% | 81% | — | FGSurrender | 2.6 | |
| Q4 7:34 · 4th & 3 at own 40 · up 3 | 61% | 42% | 59% | PuntSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q1 9:51 · 4th & 3 at own 49 · tied | 41% | 33% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 2.2 | |
| Q1 11:18 · 4th & 6 at opp 15 · tied | 40% | 38% | — | FGSurrender | 2.0 | |
| Q1 11:54 · 4th & 7 at opp 11 · tied | 45% | 43% | — | FGSurrender | 1.8 | |
| Q2 7:16 · 4th & 2 at own 28 · down 7 | 16% | 11% | 14% | PuntSurrender | 1.8 |