Colts
20–27
IND @ PIT
Steelers
Final · Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · 2025 Week 9 · Acrisure Stadium
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 55%45% PIT
43.0%GROUND35.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Jones | 54 | -0.30 | -16.3 | 8.8 | 63.3% | 66.2% | -1.6 |
| A.Rodgers | 38 | -0.10 | -3.9 | 2.9 | 71.4% | 74.1% | -2.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.43 | -0.13 |
| Success Rate | 50.6% | 41.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.4% | 19.7% |
| Yards / Play | 4.78 | 3.70 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.36 | -0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.9% | 35.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.66 | 1.50 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 38.9% | 23.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 23.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 20.8% | 11.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 22.2 | 46.3 |
| Plays | 77 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 368 | 226 |
| Total EPA | -8.2 | -6.0 |
| Giveaways | 5 | 1 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 55 | 31/49 | 314 | 5.7 | -16.6 | -0.30 | -1.6 | 46% | -0.40 | 1 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | +4.9 | +2.44 | 100% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Rodney ThomasSAF | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +2.1 | +2.12 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 14 | 45 | 3.2 | +0.9 | +0.07 | 64% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael PittmanWR | 12 | 9 | 122 | 10.2 | +2.5 | +0.20 | 67% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 13 | 6 | 115 | 8.8 | +1.3 | +0.10 | 46% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adonai MitchellWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.2 | -0.16 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.19 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 7 | 5 | 26 | 3.7 | -1.1 | -0.16 | 43% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 9 | 6 | 50 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -0.17 | 67% | -0.16 | 1 |
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 39 | 25/35 | 188 | 4.8 | -4.0 | -0.10 | -2.6 | 44% | -0.04 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor HeywardFB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +1.6 | +1.61 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.13 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 16 | 31 | 1.9 | -4.2 | -0.26 | 25% | +0.03 | 2 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 6 | 5 | 56 | 9.3 | +3.6 | +0.60 | 67% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 4 | 3 | 27 | 6.8 | +3.4 | +0.84 | 75% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 5 | 4 | 35 | 7.0 | +0.8 | +0.16 | 40% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 5 | 3 | 25 | 5.0 | +0.5 | +0.10 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 6 | 4 | 43 | 7.2 | -0.2 | -0.04 | 67% | -0.04 | 0 |
| DK MetcalfWR | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1.5 | -2.2 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 2 | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | -2.6 | -1.31 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Roman WilsonWR | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -3.9 | -1.94 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |