49ers
48–27
SF @ IND
Colts
Final · Mon, Dec 22, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Ground Share
49ers controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
SF 62%38% IND
80.3%GROUND49.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Purdy | 35 | +0.59 | +20.5 | 9.5 | 73.5% | 63.3% | +12.4 |
| P.Rivers | 37 | +0.08 | +2.9 | 9.6 | 65.7% | 66.9% | -1.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | SF | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.40 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.57 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.19 | -0.09 |
| Success Rate | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 39.7% | 25.0% |
| Yards / Play | 7.03 | 5.20 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.19 | -0.12 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 72.7% | 46.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 8.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.86 | 2.67 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 51.8% | 25.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 7.4% | 10.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.7% | 11.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 38.7 | 30.1 |
| Plays | 63 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 443 | 312 |
| Total EPA | +25.4 | -1.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock PurdyQB | 36 | 25/34 | 304 | 8.4 | +20.4 | +0.57 | +12.4 | 58% | +0.51 | 5 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 21 | 117 | 5.6 | +2.9 | +0.14 | 43% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Brock PurdyQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +2.3 | +2.34 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.05 | 40% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George KittleTE | 8 | 7 | 115 | 14.4 | +9.8 | +1.22 | 88% | +0.22 | 1 |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 6 | 5 | 71 | 11.8 | +9.1 | +1.51 | 83% | +0.18 | 1 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 8 | 6 | 29 | 3.6 | +3.2 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Demarcus RobinsonWR | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.2 | +1.08 | 50% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Skyy MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | +2.0 | +2.00 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Jake TongesTE | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | +0.6 | +0.29 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.60 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kendrick BourneWR | 5 | 3 | 27 | 5.4 | -4.3 | -0.85 | 40% | -0.04 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip RiversQB | 37 | 23/35 | 254 | 6.9 | +2.9 | +0.08 | -1.2 | 54% | +0.40 | 2 | 1 |
| Riley LeonardQB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | -3.26 | -78.4 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh DownsWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.20 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 16 | 46 | 2.9 | -0.4 | -0.02 | 44% | -0.14 | 1 |
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -1.2 | -0.40 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec PierceWR | 4 | 4 | 86 | 21.5 | +9.6 | +2.41 | 100% | +0.26 | 2 |
| Josh DownsWR | 9 | 5 | 65 | 7.2 | +3.3 | +0.36 | 56% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 3 | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | +3.1 | +1.02 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +1.4 | +0.71 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.9 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Andrew OgletreeTE | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.5 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 5 | 4 | 32 | 6.4 | +0.2 | +0.04 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Coleman OwenWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | -3.26 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 9 | 3 | 30 | 3.3 | -11.8 | -1.31 | 22% | -0.10 | 0 |