Dolphins
8–33
MIA @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Ground Share
Colts controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
MIA 33%67% IND
45.2%GROUND90.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Tagovailoa | 27 | -0.53 | -14.4 | 7.2 | 58.3% | 68.4% | -7.5 |
| D.Jones | 30 | +0.43 | +13.0 | 6.8 | 75.9% | 70.5% | +5.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | MIA | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.29 | +0.21 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.47 | +0.39 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.39 | +0.08 |
| Success Rate | 41.3% | 50.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.9% | 35.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.59 | 5.73 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.28 | +0.16 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 55.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.51 | 2.84 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 37.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 18.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.3 | 34.3 |
| Plays | 46 | 73 |
| Total Yards | 211 | 418 |
| Total EPA | -13.1 | +15.4 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 0 |
Player Stats
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach WilsonQB | 9 | 5/8 | 35 | 3.9 | -2.0 | -0.22 | -4.6 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 27 | 14/23 | 108 | 4.0 | -15.0 | -0.56 | -7.6 | 37% | -0.22 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von AchaneRB | 7 | 55 | 7.9 | +2.7 | +0.39 | 57% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.9 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | +0.2 | +0.11 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von AchaneRB | 4 | 3 | 20 | 5.0 | +3.1 | +0.78 | 75% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Dee EskridgeWR | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.7 | +0.35 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | +0.3 | +0.15 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 5 | 4 | 30 | 6.0 | -0.5 | -0.10 | 20% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tyreek HillWR | 6 | 4 | 40 | 6.7 | -0.8 | -0.13 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Alec IngoldFB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | -1.1 | -0.53 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tanner ConnerTE | 4 | 2 | 20 | 5.0 | -2.7 | -0.68 | 25% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -3.4 | -3.40 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 5 | 2 | 20 | 4.0 | -4.1 | -0.82 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 33 | 22/29 | 282 | 8.6 | +13.0 | +0.39 | +5.4 | 58% | +0.21 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | +3.8 | +0.95 | 100% | +0.01 | 2 |
| Ashton DulinWR | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +1.5 | +1.49 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| DJ GiddensRB | 12 | 41 | 3.4 | +1.0 | +0.08 | 42% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.5 | +0.48 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 18 | 71 | 3.9 | -0.4 | -0.02 | 39% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ulysses Bentley IVRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.80 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael PittmanWR | 8 | 6 | 80 | 10.0 | +6.9 | +0.86 | 63% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | +3.1 | +1.03 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.4 | +1.36 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 9 | 7 | 76 | 8.4 | +1.2 | +0.13 | 56% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 3 | 1 | 36 | 12.0 | +1.0 | +0.34 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Adonai MitchellWR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +0.7 | +0.36 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | +0.4 | +0.14 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |