Broncos · 2025 4th downs
Sean Payton · #21 of 32 in RESOLVE · 19 games
RESOLVE
4.5
WP surrendered
46.3
Clear surrenders
18
Went when should
38% · 11/29
Reckless WP
3.6
4th downs
133
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 1:21 · 4th & 8 at the 50 · tied | 41% | 28% | 36% | PuntSurrender | 5.3 | |
| Q4 8:18 · 4th & 2 at own 36 · down 3 | 27% | 15% | 23% | PuntSurrender | 4.7 | |
| Q2 7:46 · 4th & 1 at own 10 · down 7 | 57% | 46% | 53% | PuntSurrender | 3.8 | |
| Q1 7:12 · 4th & 1 at own 11 · tied | 78% | 68% | 75% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q4 8:28 · 4th & 6 at own 47 · down 3 | 26% | 16% | 24% | PuntSurrender | 2.6 | |
| Q3 2:50 · 4th & 4 at opp 45 · up 5 | 77% | 74% | 74% | PuntSurrender | 2.5 | |
| Q4 5:15 · 4th & 1 at own 29 · up 7 | 84% | 67% | 82% | PuntSurrender | 2.2 | |
| Q1 7:08 · 4th & 5 at opp 39 · down 3 | 69% | 67% | 66% | FGSurrender | 2.1 | |
| Q2 0:54 · 4th & 2 at own 48 · down 3 | 63% | 52% | 61% | PuntSurrender | 2.0 | |
| Q1 2:52 · 4th & 3 at own 42 · up 1 | 63% | 54% | 62% | PuntSurrender | 1.8 |