Broncos
13–11
DEN @ NYJ
Jets
Final · Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · 2025 Week 6 · MetLife Stadium
Ground Share
Broncos dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
DEN 74%26% NYJ
29.7%GROUND10.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Nix | 31 | +0.01 | +0.3 | 5.1 | 63.3% | 69.6% | +3.5 |
| J.Fields | 26 | -0.80 | -20.7 | 5.5 | 52.9% | 71.0% | -14.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.15 | -0.42 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.03 | -0.73 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.25 | -0.10 |
| Success Rate | 32.8% | 24.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.0% | 12.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.28 | 1.44 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.19 | -0.23 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 35.3% | 17.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 6.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.39 | 2.44 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.4% | 35.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 27.3% | 21.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 6.9% | 10.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.0 | 36.0 |
| Plays | 58 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 248 | 82 |
| Total EPA | -8.6 | -24.0 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 33 | 19/30 | 188 | 5.7 | +0.9 | +0.03 | +3.5 | 39% | +0.10 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +1.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Evan EngramTE | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.25 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.35 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -0.76 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.9 | -0.91 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Adam PrenticeFB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -1.01 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 14 | 40 | 2.9 | -2.8 | -0.20 | 29% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan EngramTE | 6 | 5 | 42 | 7.0 | +6.0 | +1.00 | 67% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Nate AdkinsTE | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.6 | +1.33 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Pat BryantWR | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | +2.2 | +1.11 | 100% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10.0 | +1.9 | +0.64 | 33% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 3 | 1 | 17 | 5.7 | -0.2 | -0.07 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -1.47 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -1.49 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 4 | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | -2.6 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 4 | 3 | 19 | 4.8 | -3.3 | -0.82 | 50% | -0.10 | 0 |
NYJ
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin FieldsQB | 29 | 9/17 | 7 | 0.2 | -21.2 | -0.73 | -14.8 | 14% | -1.09 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin FieldsQB | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | +1.3 | +0.33 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Isaiah DavisRB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -0.8 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Breece HallRB | 22 | 59 | 2.7 | -3.3 | -0.15 | 27% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ReynoldsWR | 3 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | +1.9 | +0.65 | 67% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Andrew BeckFB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.4 | +0.40 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Mason TaylorTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.51 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Isaiah DavisRB | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.06 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Arian SmithWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.29 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Garrett WilsonWR | 8 | 3 | 13 | 1.6 | -5.4 | -0.68 | 0% | -0.18 | 0 |