Broncos
18–15
DEN @ HOU
Texans
Final · Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · 2025 Week 9 · NRG Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
DEN 49%51% HOU
28.3%GROUND29.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Nix | 39 | -0.07 | 28.2% | 2.6% | -2.7 | 12.5 | 52.9% | 63.2% | -10.2 |
| D.Mills | 33 | -0.17 | 30.3% | 6.1% | -5.5 | 8.3 | 58.6% | 71.8% | -13.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.17 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.07 | -0.03 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.18 | -0.37 |
| Success Rate | 31.1% | 28.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.6% | 16.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.44 | 3.67 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.16 | -0.06 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 22.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.65 | 2.06 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.4% | 32.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.2% | 28.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.1% | 9.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.4 | 34.6 |
| Plays | 61 | 73 |
| Total Yards | 271 | 268 |
| Total EPA | -6.6 | -12.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Texans won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
DEN 29%71% HOU
7.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS18.3 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Townsend punts 42 yards to DEN 25. M.Bandy MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-J.Smith at DEN 30 — HOU +4.8
Kickoffs · HOU +0.7Punts · HOU +7.5Kicks · HOU +2.6
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 39 | 18/37 | 196 | 5.0 | -2.7 | -0.07 | -10.2 | 28% | +0.02 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Adam PrenticeFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | -0.22 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.9 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 2 | -4 | -2.0 | -1.1 | -0.53 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 15 | 61 | 4.1 | -1.7 | -0.11 | 40% | +0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat BryantWR | 3 | 2 | 20 | 6.7 | +2.9 | +0.97 | 67% | +0.21 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 5 | 5 | 51 | 10.2 | +2.8 | +0.56 | 40% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Michael BandyWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +2.1 | +2.13 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +0.9 | +0.48 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 6 | 1 | 30 | 5.0 | -2.7 | -0.46 | 17% | -0.10 | 1 |
| Evan EngramTE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.1 | -1.05 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 10 | 4 | 27 | 2.7 | -3.5 | -0.35 | 20% | -0.12 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil LutzK | 1/2(34 · blocked 51) | 34 | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy CrawshawP | 8 | 428 | 53.5 | 43.3 | 76 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ HarveyRB | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 28 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael BandyWR | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | 12 | 0 |
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 14 | 6/10 | 82 | 5.9 | +4.0 | +0.28 | -8.1 | 43% | +0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Davis MillsQB | 33 | 17/30 | 128 | 3.9 | -5.5 | -0.17 | -13.1 | 30% | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis MillsQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.37 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -0.8 | -0.79 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| British BrooksRB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 11 | 34 | 3.1 | -3.0 | -0.27 | 18% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 10 | 27 | 2.7 | -3.6 | -0.36 | 30% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 11 | 7 | 75 | 6.8 | +4.1 | +0.37 | 46% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 8 | 6 | 77 | 9.6 | +1.8 | +0.23 | 38% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 5 | 3 | 30 | 6.0 | +1.1 | +0.22 | 60% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 8 | 4 | 26 | 3.3 | +0.3 | +0.04 | 38% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Harrison BryantTE | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -0.48 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -1.4 | -1.41 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -0.58 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 5/6(23, 41, 38, 40, 41 · missed 51) | 41 | — | 5 | 2 | 15 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 8 | 420 | 52.5 | 43.8 | 73 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton BerriosWR | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 25 | 0 |
| Tremon SmithCB | 1 | 36 | 36.0 | 36 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 5 | 62 | 12.4 | 45 | 0 |