Broncos
20–23
DEN @ LAC
Chargers
Final · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 3 · SoFi Stadium
Ground Share
Chargers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
DEN 45%55% LAC
37.1%GROUND45.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Nix | 27 | -0.06 | -1.5 | 10.8 | 56.0% | 68.9% | -8.0 |
| J.Herbert | 52 | -0.05 | -2.4 | 9.1 | 59.6% | 66.4% | -4.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.12 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.11 | -0.02 |
| Success Rate | 25.5% | 41.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 11.8% | 17.4% |
| Yards / Play | 5.22 | 4.37 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.29 | -0.00 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 26.7% | 47.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 10.1 | 7.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.29 | 3.10 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.7% | 55.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 33.3% | 18.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.7% | 9.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 34.9 | 24.6 |
| Plays | 51 | 86 |
| Total Yards | 266 | 376 |
| Total EPA | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 32 | 14/25 | 184 | 5.8 | -1.5 | -0.05 | -8.0 | 28% | +0.07 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 11 | 83 | 7.5 | +2.1 | +0.19 | 36% | +0.13 | 1 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.3 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Bo NixQB | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -0.76 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland SuttonWR | 8 | 6 | 118 | 14.8 | +12.2 | +1.52 | 75% | +0.29 | 1 |
| Lucas KrullTE | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | -1.4 | -0.71 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 3 | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | -2.2 | -0.72 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 4 | 2 | 8 | 2.0 | -2.5 | -0.62 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1.0 | -3.0 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
LAC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 53 | 28/47 | 274 | 5.2 | -2.3 | -0.04 | -4.2 | 40% | +0.19 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.5 | +0.48 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Najee HarrisRB | 6 | 28 | 4.7 | +0.4 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Derius DavisWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 19 | 70 | 3.7 | -1.3 | -0.07 | 37% | -0.06 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan AllenWR | 11 | 7 | 65 | 5.9 | +4.3 | +0.39 | 46% | +0.22 | 1 |
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 9 | 6 | 89 | 9.9 | +3.9 | +0.43 | 44% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 7 | 6 | 59 | 8.4 | +2.1 | +0.30 | 57% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Ladd McConkeyWR | 7 | 4 | 41 | 5.9 | +1.1 | +0.16 | 43% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Oronde Gadsden IITE | 7 | 5 | 46 | 6.6 | +0.4 | +0.06 | 57% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tre HarrisWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tucker FiskTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler ConklinTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -0.82 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |