Commanders · 2026 4th downs
Dan Quinn · #15 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
7.4
WP surrendered
13.8
Clear surrenders
6
Went when should
33% · 3/9
Reckless WP
0.4
4th downs
39
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 13:01 · 4th & 2 at opp 13 · tied | 40% | 37% | — | FGSurrender | 3.9 | |
| Q3 11:20 · 4th & 4 at own 47 · down 5 | 22% | 15% | 20% | PuntSurrender | 2.6 | |
| Q3 13:30 · 4th & 2 at own 42 · up 7 | 53% | 41% | 52% | PuntSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q1 2:43 · 4th & 2 at own 33 · up 6 | 53% | 41% | 52% | PuntSurrender | 1.5 | |
| Q1 2:49 · 4th & 1 at own 31 · up 3 | 37% | 27% | 36% | PuntSurrender | 1.2 | |
| Q1 8:15 · 4th & 3 at own 26 · down 7 | 24% | 18% | 23% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q2 13:22 · 4th & 5 at opp 9 · down 10 | 23% | 22% | — | FGSurrender | 1.0 | |
| Q2 1:16 · 4th & 6 at own 44 · down 1 | 30% | 22% | 30% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 | |
| Q3 1:43 · 4th & 8 at own 16 · down 7 | 12% | 8% | 12% | PuntSurrender | 0.2 |