Colts
30–13
IND @ WAS
Commanders

Final · Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · 2026 Week 4 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Ground Share

Commanders had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

IND 46%54% WAS
31.9%GROUND36.8%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
D.Jones36-0.3730.6%5.6%-13.44.565.5%70.7%-5.2
A.Kaliakmanis36-0.3027.8%2.8%-10.612.846.9%58.7%-11.8

Team Stats

MetricINDWAS
EPA / Play-0.09-0.25
EPA / Dropback-0.37-0.24
EPA / Rush+0.28-0.27
Success Rate42.2%27.9%
Pass30.6%26.8%
Rush57.1%30.0%
Explosive Play Rate7.8%8.2%
Pass2.8%7.3%
Rush14.3%10.0%
Yards / Play4.065.20
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.18-0.02
3rd/4th-Down Conversion43.8%15.8%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance6.39.1
Line Yards / Carry3.882.86
Opportunity Rate (4+)60.7%35.0%
Stuff Rate0.0%25.0%
Havoc Rate Allowed7.8%22.9%
Avg Starting Field Position37.428.3
Plays6461
Total Yards260317
Total EPA-5.5-15.2
Giveaways21

Special Teams

Colts dominated the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 70% of the time

IND 84%16% WAS
9.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS1.7 pts won

Biggest swing · S.Shrader 52 yard field goal is GOOD — IND +1.3

Kickoffs · IND +1.0Punts · IND +3.8Kicks · IND +3.0

Player Stats

IND

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Daniel JonesQB3619/341433.6-13.4-0.37-5.231%-0.2001

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jonathan TaylorRB20954.8+3.6+0.1855%+0.082
Daniel JonesQB252.5+2.7+1.35100%+0.061
Seth McGowanRB6315.2+1.6+0.2650%+0.070

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tyler WarrenTE55418.2+2.3+0.4760%+0.100
Laquon TreadwellWR65427.0+2.3+0.3867%+0.050
Josh DownsWR43164.0+0.5+0.1325%+0.050
Seth McGowanRB2173.5+0.0+0.0150%-0.020
Deion BurksWR2163.0-1.9-0.930%-0.040
Jonathan TaylorRB4120.5-2.1-0.520%-0.060
Ashton DulinWR63294.8-5.0-0.8333%-0.070

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Spencer ShraderK3/3(48, 52, 44)523/3——12
Rigoberto SanchezP———600

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Rigoberto SanchezP421353.349.059300

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Seth McGowanRB410225.5290

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Anthony GouldWR400.000

WAS

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Marcus MariotaQB53/4468.0+0.8+0.15+10.420%+0.0200
Athan KaliakmanisQB3615/331865.4-10.6-0.30-11.828%-0.1311

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Marcus MariotaQB13535.0+2.4+2.43100%+0.050
Austin EkelerRB4297.3+1.7+0.4275%+0.010
Athan KaliakmanisQB3165.3-1.3-0.430%-0.060
Kaytron AllenRB310.3-1.9-0.630%-0.020
Craig ReynoldsRB242.0-3.0-1.510%-0.060
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB9151.7-3.7-0.4122%-0.060

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Dyami BrownWR436516.3+6.0+1.5075%+0.100
Treylon BurksWR314715.7+1.7+0.5633%+0.131
Brandon ColemanG111313.0+0.8+0.81100%-0.010
Austin EkelerRB21115.5+0.8+0.3750%+0.010
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB42358.8-0.5-0.1325%+0.040
Colson YankoffTE1000.0-0.5-0.540%+0.000
Chig OkonkwoTE4251.3-2.4-0.600%-0.070
Stefon DiggsWR95353.9-3.6-0.4122%+0.000
Antonio WilliamsWR83212.6-6.7-0.8325%-0.150

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Drew StevensK2/2(31, 29)311/1407

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tress WayP518937.837.849300

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Dyami BrownWR38227.3370
Jaylin LaneWR38026.7270

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jaylin LaneWR3175.790
Antonio WilliamsWR100.000