Saints · 2026 4th downs
Kellen Moore · #9 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
8.5
WP surrendered
9.2
Clear surrenders
5
Went when should
38% · 3/8
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
31
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 7:40 · 4th & 3 at opp 8 · down 17 | 11% | 8% | — | FGSurrender | 3.5 | |
| Q2 13:38 · 4th & 6 at opp 43 · down 7 | 14% | 13% | 13% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q2 3:49 · 4th & 3 at opp 5 · down 7 | 18% | 17% | — | FGSurrender | 1.2 | |
| Q4 7:45 · 4th & 4 at opp 10 · down 7 | 17% | 16% | — | FGSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q1 10:15 · 4th & 2 at own 43 · tied | 30% | 23% | 29% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q2 8:00 · 4th & 6 at own 33 · down 14 | 17% | 12% | 16% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 | |
| Q1 2:43 · 4th & 7 at own 30 · down 7 | 13% | 10% | 13% | PuntSurrender | 0.1 | |
| Q2 0:49 · 4th & 11 at opp 42 · down 17 | 13% | 12% | 13% | PuntSurrender | 0.0 |