Colts · 2026 4th downs
Shane Steichen · #26 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
5.6
WP surrendered
22.6
Clear surrenders
6
Went when should
50% · 6/12
Reckless WP
0.2
4th downs
34
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 0:34 · 4th & 4 at own 49 · tied | 44% | 22% | 35% | PuntSurrender | 8.4 | |
| Q1 0:27 · 4th & 1 at own 37 · down 6 | 46% | 35% | 42% | PuntSurrender | 4.1 | |
| Q3 5:48 · 4th & 4 at own 48 · down 4 | 25% | 17% | 22% | PuntSurrender | 3.3 | |
| Q3 7:07 · 4th & 2 at opp 34 · up 4 | 80% | 79% | 77% | FGSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q3 10:25 · 4th & 4 at opp 4 · down 4 | 38% | 37% | — | FGSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q1 7:00 · 4th & 5 at opp 38 · down 4 | 40% | 39% | 36% | FGSurrender | 1.0 | |
| Q1 9:02 · 4th & 5 at opp 39 · tied | 48% | 47% | 45% | FGSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q2 0:59 · 4th & 1 at own 27 · down 15 | 6% | 3% | 5% | PuntSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q3 1:26 · 4th & 7 at own 40 · down 15 | 3% | 1% | 2% | PuntSurrender | 0.7 | |
| Q1 10:50 · 4th & 3 at own 36 · down 3 | 56% | 48% | 56% | PuntSurrender | 0.3 |