Broncos · 2026 4th downs
Sean Payton · #32 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
1.0
WP surrendered
34.0
Clear surrenders
11
Went when should
15% · 2/13
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
36
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 7:10 · 4th & 2 at own 38 · down 3 | 35% | 18% | 28% | PuntSurrender | 6.9 | |
| Q4 5:10 · 4th & 1 at opp 1 · tied | 76% | 71% | — | FGSurrender | 5.2 | |
| Q2 7:03 · 4th & 2 at opp 2 · down 7 | 39% | 36% | — | FGSurrender | 3.6 | |
| Q3 10:52 · 4th & 2 at own 45 · tied | 46% | 34% | 43% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q4 14:12 · 4th & 2 at opp 22 · down 7 | 25% | 22% | — | FGSurrender | 3.0 | |
| Q1 10:02 · 4th & 3 at opp 47 · tied | 62% | 56% | 59% | PuntSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q3 5:02 · 4th & 5 at opp 27 · down 10 | 26% | 23% | — | FGSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q2 5:13 · 4th & 5 at opp 42 · up 3 | 55% | 53% | 53% | PuntSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q2 4:50 · 4th & 1 at own 32 · tied | 43% | 30% | 41% | PuntSurrender | 1.5 | |
| Q1 2:12 · 4th & 2 at own 31 · tied | 52% | 40% | 50% | PuntSurrender | 1.4 |