Bears · 2026 4th downs
Ben Johnson · #4 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
9.0
WP surrendered
8.1
Clear surrenders
3
Went when should
70% · 7/10
Reckless WP
0.9
4th downs
32
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 4:15 · 4th & 3 at own 34 · down 3 | 43% | 30% | 40% | PuntSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q2 2:32 · 4th & 2 at opp 12 · up 4 | 75% | 73% | — | FGSurrender | 1.7 | |
| Q4 14:56 · 4th & 7 at own 43 · down 3 | 42% | 31% | 40% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q3 4:20 · 4th & 3 at own 20 · down 13 | 10% | 6% | 9% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q2 13:26 · 4th & 6 at own 29 · down 14 | 17% | 12% | 17% | PuntSurrender | 0.6 | |
| Q2 7:07 · 4th & 5 at own 30 · tied | 55% | 45% | 54% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 |