Bears
7–31
CHI @ GB
Packers

Final · Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 2026 Week 5 · Lambeau Field

Ground Share

Packers controlled the field

Teams with this edge win 94% of the time

CHI 35%65% GB
28.5%GROUND53.6%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
T.Bagent25-0.4140.0%8.0%-10.27.157.1%68.0%-10.9
J.Love34+0.4752.9%5.9%+16.110.380.7%64.5%+16.2

Team Stats

MetricCHIGB
EPA / Play-0.34+0.25
EPA / Dropback-0.48+0.47
EPA / Rush-0.03-0.09
Success Rate38.2%45.6%
Pass38.3%52.9%
Rush38.1%34.8%
Explosive Play Rate7.3%14.0%
Pass4.3%17.6%
Rush14.3%8.7%
Yards / Play3.627.54
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.29+0.22
3rd/4th-Down Conversion31.6%38.5%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance7.48.5
Line Yards / Carry2.242.04
Opportunity Rate (4+)33.3%34.8%
Stuff Rate28.6%34.8%
Havoc Rate Allowed17.6%19.3%
Avg Starting Field Position28.133.2
Plays6857
Total Yards246430
Total EPA-23.1+14.0
Giveaways50

Special Teams

Bears had the edge in the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 56% of the time

CHI 64%36% GB
13.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.3 pts won

Biggest swing · C.Santos 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — GB +3.8

Kickoffs · CHI +2.9Punts · GB +1.2Kicks · CHI +4.2

Player Stats

CHI

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Tyson BagentQB2512/21873.2-10.2-0.41-10.940%-0.2702
Case KeenumQB2211/191084.5-12.3-0.56-4.536%-0.0101

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
D'Andre SwiftRB9434.8+4.3+0.4856%+0.091
Tyson BagentQB3175.7+1.0+0.3267%+0.000
Zavion ThomasWR11111.0+0.8+0.83100%+0.030
Case KeenumQB144.0-0.3-0.320%+0.000
Kalif RaymondWR1-2-2.0-0.8-0.750%-0.020
Luther Burden IIIWR420.5-2.3-0.5825%-0.020
Roschon JohnsonRB561.2-3.6-0.730%-0.030

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Cole KmetTE2184.0+0.9+0.4650%+0.000
Zavion ThomasWR111111.0+0.7+0.74100%+0.000
Roschon JohnsonRB75344.9+0.6+0.0957%+0.000
D'Andre SwiftRB54306.0+0.5+0.1060%+0.030
Kalif RaymondWR4361.5-1.5-0.3725%-0.030
Luther Burden IIIWR64477.8-1.7-0.2867%-0.070
Jahdae WalkerWR1000.0-2.7-2.680%+0.000
Colston LovelandTE52193.8-4.1-0.8120%-0.040
Rome OdunzeWR93404.4-7.4-0.8222%-0.060

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cairo SantosK0/1(missed 43)—1/1201

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tory TaylorP421253.046.356100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Zavion ThomasWR619232.0610

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Kalif RaymondWR294.590
Zavion ThomasWR100.000

GB

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Jordan LoveQB3425/3136710.7+16.1+0.47+16.253%+0.1720

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tucker KraftTE122.0+0.5+0.49100%+0.020
Jordan LoveQB166.0+0.3+0.32100%+0.000
MarShawn LloydRB10313.1+0.3+0.0340%-0.012
Pierre StrongRB571.4-0.3-0.0640%+0.020
Kaleb JohnsonRB7263.7-2.6-0.3714%+0.000

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Christian WatsonWR8614317.9+10.3+1.2950%+0.232
Matthew GoldenWR7612317.6+7.6+1.0871%+0.040
Tucker KraftTE556412.8+3.1+0.6280%+0.020
MarShawn LloydRB2163.0-0.3-0.1750%+0.000
Skyy MooreWR1100.0-0.5-0.530%-0.010
Bo MeltonWR43205.0-1.4-0.3525%-0.050
Pierre StrongRB43112.8-1.4-0.3550%-0.020

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Trey SmackK1/3(35 · missed 43, 47)352/3605

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Daniel WhelanP422155.348.075210

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Bo MeltonWR24824.0280

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Matthew GoldenWR22713.5170