Vikings · 2025 4th downs
Kevin O'Connell · #26 of 32 in RESOLVE · 17 games
RESOLVE
3.9
WP surrendered
45.7
Clear surrenders
16
Went when should
41% · 11/27
Reckless WP
1.5
4th downs
116
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 12:37 · 4th & 3 at the 50 · up 3 | 42% | 33% | 38% | PuntSurrender | 3.9 | |
| Q2 6:58 · 4th & 1 at own 34 · down 4 | 43% | 30% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 3.8 | |
| Q4 9:47 · 4th & 1 at own 28 · down 9 | 14% | 7% | 10% | PuntSurrender | 3.6 | |
| Q4 7:25 · 4th & 8 at own 37 · down 6 | 19% | 10% | 16% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q1 11:47 · 4th & 1 at own 41 · tied | 42% | 31% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q3 1:14 · 4th & 2 at own 29 · down 13 | 9% | 4% | 6% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q3 14:11 · 4th & 2 at own 30 · down 3 | 43% | 31% | 41% | PuntSurrender | 2.5 | |
| Q2 6:26 · 4th & 1 at own 23 · tied | 62% | 51% | 59% | PuntSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q1 10:54 · 4th & 4 at opp 25 · tied | 60% | 58% | — | FGSurrender | 2.2 | |
| Q4 7:24 · 4th & 5 at own 6 · up 6 | 63% | 48% | 61% | PuntSurrender | 2.0 |