Vikings
27–24
MIN @ CHI
Bears
Final · Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · Soldier Field
Ground Share
Bears had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
MIN 43%57% CHI
28.2%GROUND37.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.McCarthy | 25 | -0.39 | -9.8 | 5.8 | 59.1% | 68.3% | -3.3 |
| C.Williams | 37 | -0.19 | -7.0 | 7.5 | 60.0% | 68.4% | -6.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | MIN | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.09 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.39 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | -0.20 |
| Success Rate | 42.6% | 38.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18.5% | 22.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.70 | 4.73 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.14 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 30.8% | 28.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 10.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.25 | 2.54 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.0% | 40.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.6 | 30.0 |
| Plays | 54 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 254 | 317 |
| Total EPA | -4.7 | -3.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 24 | 13/20 | 145 | 6.0 | -9.3 | -0.39 | -3.3 | 42% | -0.10 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +2.7 | +2.72 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 15 | 68 | 4.5 | -1.1 | -0.07 | 47% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 8 | 23 | 2.9 | -1.4 | -0.17 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron JonesRB | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | +4.2 | +1.40 | 100% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Josh OliverTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.23 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 4 | 3 | 15 | 3.8 | -0.3 | -0.07 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jalen NailorWR | 3 | 1 | 28 | 9.3 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adam ThielenWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -1.67 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 7 | 4 | 44 | 6.3 | -6.8 | -0.96 | 43% | -0.14 | 1 |
CHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 43 | 21/35 | 256 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.01 | -6.7 | 47% | -0.14 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.6 | -0.19 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 17 | 53 | 3.1 | -3.5 | -0.21 | 18% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 7 | 4 | 42 | 6.0 | +0.4 | +0.06 | 57% | +0.00 | 0 |
| DJ MooreWR | 5 | 3 | 57 | 11.4 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 60% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Colston LovelandTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | -0.6 | -0.29 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 9 | 6 | 48 | 5.3 | -0.9 | -0.10 | 44% | -0.07 | 1 |
| Cole KmetTE | 4 | 1 | 31 | 7.8 | -0.9 | -0.23 | 25% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 1 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -0.98 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 5 | 3 | 12 | 2.4 | -1.0 | -0.20 | 20% | -0.02 | 0 |