Bears
19–17
CHI @ MIN
Vikings
Final · Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · 2025 Week 11 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Bears had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
CHI 54%46% MIN
37.9%GROUND32.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Williams | 34 | -0.03 | -0.9 | 12.0 | 50.0% | 66.6% | -9.5 |
| J.McCarthy | 32 | -0.41 | -13.1 | 9.7 | 50.0% | 65.2% | -15.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CHI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.06 | -0.18 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.01 | -0.41 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.12 | +0.12 |
| Success Rate | 44.0% | 43.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.3% | 25.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.27 | 4.82 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.07 | -0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.5 | 4.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.53 | 4.25 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 43.2% | 63.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.3% | 10.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.7 | 31.9 |
| Plays | 75 | 55 |
| Total Yards | 320 | 265 |
| Total EPA | -4.7 | -9.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Player Stats
CHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 36 | 16/32 | 203 | 5.6 | +0.4 | +0.01 | -9.5 | 42% | +0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.0 | +1.04 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 12 | 23 | 1.9 | -0.4 | -0.03 | 42% | +0.01 | 1 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 21 | 90 | 4.3 | -1.2 | -0.06 | 52% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Travis HomerRB | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -1.4 | -1.37 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.9 | -0.97 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colston LovelandTE | 4 | 3 | 40 | 10.0 | +3.0 | +0.74 | 75% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 6 | 2 | 41 | 6.8 | +2.3 | +0.38 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Cole KmetTE | 5 | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | +2.1 | +0.42 | 80% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 5 | 3 | 27 | 5.4 | +0.2 | +0.05 | 40% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | -0.1 | -0.12 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Durham SmytheTE | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.6 | -0.20 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DJ MooreWR | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6.0 | -0.9 | -0.29 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 32 | 16/32 | 150 | 4.7 | -13.1 | -0.41 | -15.2 | 38% | -0.09 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan MasonRB | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | +2.9 | +0.48 | 67% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 16 | 70 | 4.4 | -0.2 | -0.01 | 44% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam ThielenWR | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | +1.2 | +0.62 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jalen NailorWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.2 | +1.18 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 6 | 3 | 39 | 6.5 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Josh OliverTE | 1 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.3 | -1.29 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jordan AddisonWR | 7 | 2 | 20 | 2.9 | -2.8 | -0.39 | 29% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 6 | 3 | 11 | 1.8 | -4.6 | -0.76 | 17% | -0.14 | 0 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 9 | 5 | 61 | 6.8 | -6.8 | -0.76 | 44% | -0.09 | 0 |