49ers · 2026 4th downs
Kyle Shanahan · #25 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
5.7
WP surrendered
12.7
Clear surrenders
5
Went when should
17% · 1/6
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
24
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 14:04 · 4th & 1 at own 38 · tied | 41% | 28% | 37% | PuntSurrender | 3.9 | |
| Q1 2:01 · 4th & 2 at own 25 · up 3 | 52% | 41% | 50% | PuntSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q1 6:17 · 4th & 2 at opp 2 · tied | 51% | 49% | — | FGSurrender | 2.0 | |
| Q3 13:15 · 4th & 5 at opp 34 · up 8 | 76% | 74% | 74% | FGSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q1 0:46 · 4th & 5 at the 50 · tied | 42% | 36% | 41% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q2 10:36 · 4th & 1 at own 21 · down 3 | 45% | 36% | 44% | PuntSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q2 0:28 · 4th & 3 at own 49 · up 3 | 61% | 53% | 60% | PuntSurrender | 0.4 | |
| Q4 2:00 · 4th & 2 at opp 25 · tied | 58% | 58% | — | FGSurrender | 0.3 | |
| Q3 1:06 · 4th & 4 at own 29 · up 10 | 92% | 88% | 92% | PuntSurrender | 0.1 | |
| Q1 4:47 · 4th & 6 at own 35 · tied | 39% | 30% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 0.1 |