Steelers · 2026 4th downs

Mike McCarthy · #2 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games

RESOLVE
9.5
WP surrendered
8.0
Clear surrenders
3
Went when should
50% · 3/6
Reckless WP
3.3
4th downs
38

Costliest surrenders

Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.

GameSituationGoFGPuntCalledCost
Q4 5:40 · 4th & 5 at own 37 · down 812%5%9%PuntSurrender3.1
Q3 2:22 · 4th & 3 at own 44 · down 716%10%14%PuntSurrender2.1
Q2 12:31 · 4th & 5 at opp 10 · down 458%56%—FGSurrender1.7
Q2 0:25 · 4th & 2 at opp 30 · up 162%62%—FGSurrender0.4
Q1 8:34 · 4th & 9 at opp 25 · tied70%69%—FGSurrender0.4
Q3 9:12 · 4th & 6 at own 42 · down 717%12%17%PuntSurrender0.1
Q4 2:09 · 4th & 2 at own 29 · down 170%0%0%PuntSurrender0.0
Q2 6:10 · 4th & 5 at own 37 · up 154%44%54%PuntSurrender0.0