Chiefs · 2026 4th downs
Andy Reid · #21 of 32 in RESOLVE · 4 games
RESOLVE
6.3
WP surrendered
7.9
Clear surrenders
2
Went when should
50% · 2/4
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
24
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 11:28 · 4th & 3 at opp 45 · tied | 65% | 62% | 62% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q3 3:43 · 4th & 7 at own 45 · down 3 | 47% | 36% | 45% | PuntSurrender | 2.3 | |
| Q1 13:34 · 4th & 4 at own 35 · tied | 65% | 55% | 64% | PuntSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q4 9:50 · 4th & 5 at own 35 · up 1 | 63% | 50% | 63% | PuntSurrender | 0.7 | |
| Q2 6:42 · 4th & 2 at own 43 · tied | 59% | 49% | 58% | PuntSurrender | 0.7 | |
| Q2 12:47 · 4th & 3 at opp 33 · tied | 72% | 71% | 68% | FGSurrender | 0.3 | |
| Q4 0:57 · 4th & 6 at opp 32 · up 14 | 100% | 100% | 100% | FGSurrender | 0.0 |