Ravens · 2026 4th downs
Jesse Minter · #31 of 32 in RESOLVE · 5 games
RESOLVE
3.5
WP surrendered
24.2
Clear surrenders
6
Went when should
33% · 3/9
Reckless WP
0.0
4th downs
31
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 7:40 · 4th & 5 at own 45 · down 4 | 34% | 18% | 27% | PuntSurrender | 6.8 | |
| Q4 8:14 · 4th & 1 at own 37 · tied | 64% | 46% | 58% | PuntSurrender | 6.0 | |
| Q4 6:30 · 4th & 4 at own 38 · down 5 | 20% | 9% | 16% | PuntSurrender | 4.0 | |
| Q1 4:53 · 4th & 5 at opp 49 · down 4 | 29% | 24% | 26% | PuntSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q1 13:37 · 4th & 4 at own 29 · tied | 57% | 46% | 55% | PuntSurrender | 2.1 | |
| Q2 12:30 · 4th & 3 at own 45 · down 4 | 29% | 22% | 27% | PuntSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q1 10:30 · 4th & 3 at opp 3 · tied | 44% | 43% | — | FGSurrender | 0.8 | |
| Q2 4:48 · 4th & 6 at opp 9 · up 4 | 77% | 76% | — | FGSurrender | 0.4 | |
| Q3 12:48 · 4th & 3 at own 41 · up 17 | 98% | 97% | 98% | PuntSurrender | 0.1 |