Dolphins · 2025 4th downs
Mike McDaniel · #23 of 32 in RESOLVE · 17 games
RESOLVE
4.2
WP surrendered
22.1
Clear surrenders
9
Went when should
40% · 6/15
Reckless WP
1.1
4th downs
109
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 10:39 · 4th & 1 at opp 23 · tied | 61% | 56% | — | FGSurrender | 4.8 | |
| Q1 10:55 · 4th & 3 at opp 29 · tied | 57% | 53% | — | FGSurrender | 3.4 | |
| Q4 8:45 · 4th & 1 at own 27 · up 10 | 87% | 76% | 84% | PuntSurrender | 2.1 | |
| Q1 2:54 · 4th & 1 at opp 12 · down 4 | 19% | 17% | — | FGSurrender | 1.9 | |
| Q1 12:11 · 4th & 4 at opp 31 · tied | 23% | 21% | 21% | FGSurrender | 1.6 | |
| Q4 14:19 · 4th & 3 at opp 13 · up 7 | 78% | 77% | — | FGSurrender | 1.2 | |
| Q3 5:40 · 4th & 5 at own 41 · down 7 | 9% | 5% | 8% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q3 9:05 · 4th & 1 at own 36 · up 8 | 87% | 80% | 86% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q2 11:25 · 4th & 1 at own 39 · tied | 42% | 32% | 41% | PuntSurrender | 1.0 | |
| Q1 12:46 · 4th & 7 at the 50 · tied | 40% | 34% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 |