Dolphins
15–28
MIA @ PIT
Steelers
Final · Mon, Dec 15, 2025 · 2025 Week 15 · Acrisure Stadium
Ground Share
Steelers controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
MIA 42%58% PIT
38.7%GROUND52.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Tagovailoa | 34 | +0.08 | +2.6 | 6.1 | 73.3% | 69.1% | +15.5 |
| A.Rodgers | 30 | +0.37 | +11.1 | 3.4 | 85.2% | 74.8% | +10.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | MIA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.00 | +0.21 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.10 | +0.37 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.23 | +0.06 |
| Success Rate | 43.8% | 53.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.9% | 25.8% |
| Yards / Play | 5.94 | 5.09 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.11 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 33.3% | 52.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.30 | 3.17 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 60.0% | 34.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 21.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.3 | 29.4 |
| Plays | 48 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 285 | 336 |
| Total EPA | -0.1 | +13.8 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 33 | 22/28 | 223 | 6.8 | +3.4 | +0.10 | +15.5 | 52% | -0.12 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von AchaneRB | 12 | 60 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jaylen WrightRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.6 | -0.55 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.8 | -1.39 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren WallerTE | 8 | 7 | 66 | 8.3 | +6.5 | +0.82 | 75% | -0.02 | 2 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 6 | 6 | 67 | 11.2 | +4.1 | +0.69 | 83% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Greg DulcichTE | 2 | 2 | 46 | 23.0 | +2.4 | +1.22 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Julian HillTE | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +1.4 | +0.69 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jaylen WrightRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.67 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.1 | +0.09 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Alec IngoldFB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 4 | 2 | 26 | 6.5 | -3.3 | -0.81 | 50% | -0.09 | 0 |
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 30 | 23/27 | 201 | 6.7 | +11.1 | +0.37 | +10.4 | 57% | +0.16 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor HeywardFB | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | +3.7 | +0.94 | 75% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +2.0 | +2.02 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 13 | 80 | 6.2 | +0.5 | +0.04 | 46% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -0.38 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 12 | 33 | 2.8 | -2.8 | -0.23 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK MetcalfWR | 3 | 3 | 55 | 18.3 | +6.2 | +2.06 | 100% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 5 | 3 | 45 | 9.0 | +5.2 | +1.04 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 7 | 7 | 46 | 6.6 | +5.1 | +0.73 | 71% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | +2.5 | +2.45 | 100% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 4 | 3 | 25 | 6.3 | +0.8 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adam ThielenWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | -0.7 | -0.24 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -1.88 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |