Chiefs · 2025 4th downs
Andy Reid · #2 of 32 in RESOLVE · 17 games
RESOLVE
8.5
WP surrendered
40.8
Clear surrenders
14
Went when should
63% · 22/35
Reckless WP
1.5
4th downs
111
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 0:06 · 4th & 1 at opp 1 · down 11 | 42% | 37% | — | FGSurrender | 4.6 | |
| Q3 12:26 · 4th & 5 at opp 49 · down 3 | 51% | 43% | 47% | PuntSurrender | 4.0 | |
| Q3 13:29 · 4th & 3 at own 36 · down 5 | 39% | 26% | 35% | PuntSurrender | 3.8 | |
| Q3 6:27 · 4th & 3 at own 43 · down 8 | 27% | 17% | 23% | PuntSurrender | 3.6 | |
| Q4 9:35 · 4th & 8 at own 41 · down 7 | 20% | 12% | 17% | PuntSurrender | 3.3 | |
| Q3 5:43 · 4th & 4 at own 44 · down 3 | 43% | 31% | 40% | PuntSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q1 9:38 · 4th & 2 at opp 46 · tied | 66% | 60% | 63% | PuntSurrender | 2.9 | |
| Q4 6:41 · 4th & 2 at own 20 · up 3 | 68% | 50% | 65% | PuntSurrender | 2.8 | |
| Q1 6:10 · 4th & 9 at opp 42 · down 7 | 41% | 41% | 39% | PuntSurrender | 2.2 | |
| Q4 13:58 · 4th & 10 at opp 44 · down 7 | 25% | 23% | 23% | PuntSurrender | 1.7 |