Chiefs
21–28
KC @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · 2025 Week 9 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
KC 42%58% BUF
44.9%GROUND62.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Mahomes | 38 | -0.04 | -1.7 | 14.5 | 42.9% | 56.1% | -4.4 |
| J.Allen | 29 | +0.33 | +9.6 | 5.1 | 88.5% | 73.6% | +18.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | KC | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.00 | +0.22 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.06 | +0.33 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.08 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 40.7% | 55.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.7% | 27.7% |
| Yards / Play | 5.17 | 6.23 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.05 | +0.26 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 31.3% | 53.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.1 | 5.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.21 | 3.23 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 52.6% | 33.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.1% | 9.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.0 | 28.1 |
| Plays | 59 | 65 |
| Total Yards | 305 | 405 |
| Total EPA | -0.1 | +14.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 38 | 15/34 | 231 | 6.1 | -2.2 | -0.06 | -4.4 | 34% | -0.22 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem HuntRB | 11 | 49 | 4.5 | +3.2 | +0.29 | 55% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Rashee RiceWR | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +1.2 | +0.62 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.44 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.8 | -0.41 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | -0.9 | -0.30 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashee RiceWR | 7 | 4 | 80 | 11.4 | +4.8 | +0.68 | 57% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Travis KelceTE | 5 | 4 | 66 | 13.2 | +4.8 | +0.95 | 80% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 4 | 2 | 73 | 18.3 | +4.7 | +1.18 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.32 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.21 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Noah GrayTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 7 | 3 | 23 | 3.3 | -5.4 | -0.78 | 14% | -0.11 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 30 | 23/26 | 269 | 9.0 | +9.9 | +0.33 | +18.4 | 63% | +0.38 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | +4.1 | +1.03 | 100% | +0.09 | 2 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +1.8 | +0.89 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 27 | 114 | 4.2 | -1.2 | -0.04 | 37% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton KincaidTE | 6 | 6 | 101 | 16.8 | +8.6 | +1.44 | 83% | +0.27 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | +2.7 | +2.73 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | +2.2 | +2.19 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +1.1 | +0.54 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +0.7 | +0.36 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.33 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.33 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.3 | +0.31 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.31 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 8 | 7 | 43 | 5.4 | -1.9 | -0.24 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |