Packers · 2025 4th downs
Matt LaFleur · #8 of 32 in RESOLVE · 18 games
RESOLVE
6.8
WP surrendered
26.1
Clear surrenders
8
Went when should
69% · 18/26
Reckless WP
2.8
4th downs
100
Costliest surrenders
Bold = the option that gave the best chance · dotted = the call · cost in points of win probability.
| Game | Situation | Go | FG | Punt | Called | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 8:05 · 4th & 6 at own 20 · down 3 | 35% | 22% | 30% | PuntSurrender | 5.1 | |
| Q1 13:37 · 4th & 1 at own 29 · tied | 59% | 46% | 55% | PuntSurrender | 4.0 | |
| Q2 15:00 · 4th & 1 at own 45 · tied | 54% | 41% | 50% | PuntSurrender | 3.2 | |
| Q3 13:28 · 4th & 3 at own 37 · down 7 | 43% | 33% | 40% | PuntSurrender | 3.1 | |
| Q2 8:52 · 4th & 2 at own 46 · tied | 51% | 39% | 49% | PuntSurrender | 2.6 | |
| Q2 4:13 · 4th & 3 at own 41 · down 2 | 49% | 37% | 46% | PuntSurrender | 2.4 | |
| Q1 4:23 · 4th & 2 at opp 49 · up 7 | 87% | 83% | 85% | PuntSurrender | 2.0 | |
| Q2 9:13 · 4th & 4 at own 47 · down 3 | 16% | 12% | 15% | PuntSurrender | 1.1 | |
| Q2 13:42 · 4th & 3 at own 22 · down 3 | 14% | 10% | 13% | PuntSurrender | 0.9 | |
| Q2 5:59 · 4th & 5 at opp 45 · up 11 | 92% | 91% | 92% | PuntSurrender | 0.5 |